Only in 15 days you will be able to see the effects of phase 2: the encouraging numbers of these days on the trend of the Covid-19 epidemic in Italy are in fact a photograph of the past. "What we record today is the result of what we saw during the lockdown," physicist Giorgio Sestili , founder and curator of the Facebook page "Coronavirus-Data and scientific analysis" told ANSA .
" If in these first days of phase 2 the infections are restarting we will only know in 15 days",he added, referring to the average time that elapses from the beginning of the infection to the onset of symptoms. "It is very probable that even today the data indicate that fewer than a hundred deaths and infections, but there is no need to celebrate or to let your guard down because they are results of the past".
" The preparation of the post-lockdown phase has been completely insufficient. We have received only recommendations but no efficient and real action plan to be implemented has been proposed by the authorities." He said Stefano Ruffo, director of ISAS of Trieste . "Not enough molecular and serological tests are being performed to identify potential foci of infection," he continued. For the director of the International School of Advanced Studies, "a tracking project has not been implemented and no isolation strategy has been proposed for potential infects." Ruffo intervened in videoconference by presenting a seminar by computational epidemiologist Alessandro Vespignani, in liaison from the United States. The director of Sissa also stressed that "the scientific community of Trieste (SISSA, ICTP, UNITS) has given regional authorities its availability of experience in data analysis since two months ago". Adding: "We have only been observing a timid progress in this direction".