Research team from the Hebrew University sent the USSR a gloomy assessment of the second wave's outbreak • Forecast: 100 more deceased by the end of July
A team of researchers from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem on Sunday recommended that the government wait until the weekend to see if raising awareness, wearing masks and closing event halls have helped reduce the rate of infection.
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"There is some stabilization at the rate of the epidemic but not yet sufficiently high. At the current doubling rate, early July 19, a decision to step up preventive measures will be required to curb deterioration that could lead to a failure to meet the health system's ability - from widespread regional closures to closure. Full, "the researchers write. "A complete ban on public gatherings must be ensured everywhere closed. Wait until this weekend and allow for an examination of the impact of preventive measures taken as of July 2."
The authors of the document are Prof. Yinon Ashkenazi, Prof. Ran Nirpez (Hadassah Hospital), Prof. Doron Gazit, Prof. Ronit Calderon-Margalit, Dr. Michael Assaf and Prof. Nadav Katz - from the Rakah Institute of Physics and the School of Public Health At the Hebrew University of Jerusalem.
Their outlook continues to be bleak. "The rate of increase in respiratory-assisted hospitalization is on a par with the rise in the number of new patients. Since the beginning of April, this index has also reliably predicted mortality and hospital load (the forecast is for the addition of about 100 more deaths by the end of July)," the researchers said. In their document.
According to the researchers, the most important measure for them is the amount of patients in moderate-to-severe condition, and about this they say that there is still about a week of testing: "The effect in the respiratory-supported (medium + severe) hospital index is delayed by 10-13 days in relation to epidemic change (arising from, for example, performance). Preventive measures) ".
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In the meantime, Health Minister Yuli Edelstein met with Jerusalem Mayor Moshe Leon to conduct a situation assessment. Following the decision of the Ministerial Staff for Restricted Areas, as of Friday noon, the police had closed a number of neighborhoods in Jerusalem, including Romma, Kiryat Sanz and Belz, and Kiryat Mattersdorf. As a result of this situation, the Minister of Health decided to go down to inspect each of the cities where the closure of the residents and their treatment methods were closed.
His tour began with Minister Edelstein in Jerusalem, where he met with Mayor Leon. The two met in the Jerusalem District Municipality's designated military, which was reactivated by the mayor's order. The two discussed the current situation and the ways in which the municipality provides the residents in the neighborhoods that have been closed. Minister Edelstein and the mayor of Jerusalem emphasized the importance of assisting those residents and evacuating the patients to hotels outside these neighborhoods. With the aim of saving lives and preventing further infection.
Edelstein: "The Ministry of Health has done its utmost to avoid closures. Unfortunately, the spread of the Corona has forced us to make regular closures in a number of neighborhoods in Jerusalem, Beitar, Ramla, Lod, Beit Shemesh and Kiryat Malachi. We do not ease the difficulties created by the closure. Infection and avoid a more inclusive locksmith. "
Moshe Leon: "Our main goal is to stop the contagion chain, isolate the infected and harm as few people as possible in the lives of non-sick residents. I am in close contact with all government ministries on the subject, including the Ministry of Health, to act quickly to improve the situation. I urge the general public to adhere strictly to the Ministry of Health guidelines, these are life-saving guidelines. "