According to a study by Prof. Lest of Ben-Gurion University, after the aliyah, there will be a significant decrease in the data. • Significance of the findings - no closure during the holidays •
The research that will finally refute the need for closure? According to data collected by Professor Mark Lest from Ben-Gurion University, who supports the steps of Professor Roni Gamzo and even states that the treatment of Corona patients in Israel is better than the medical treatment provided in other countries.
According to Lest, in the next two weeks the State of Israel will reach "herd immunity" - a scenario in which the percentage of those infected in the population will be high enough for the number of infected to begin to decline. According to the study, in this situation a sick person will infect on average less than one person (in contrast to the current situation) and thus the number of patients will gradually decrease. The analysis was based on the morbidity data of the Ministry of Health in Israel as well as on proven epidemiological models.
Prof. Gamzo: "We took the complicated road, it is not always popular" // Photo Archive: GPO
The findings of the study support the steps of Corona Commissioner Professor Roni Gamzo, who announced a series of possible measures to reduce the spread of the virus in the country. According to Prof. Lest: "The State of Israel must preserve the current situation in order to reduce the number of those infected as soon as possible. There is no need to make a comprehensive closure, as we will reach a declining trend in the near future. "Higher than recommended, it could be an opening for a new outbreak of the virus."
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In the study, Prof. Lest compared the State of Israel to the European countries Greece, Italy and Sweden, which have similar characteristics. According to him, compared to these countries, the spread of the virus in Israel is more severe at this time and our morbidity is still high. However, "if you get sick in Corona - then it is better in Israel. Our treatment is more effective than the countries examined and probably from other countries."
Referring to the analysis of the findings of corona patients in Israel, Lest noted that no country currently has an organized clinical database of corona patients. In Israel, for example, the number of corona patients and mortality rates from the disease are published, but there is no accessible database with clinical data at the individual patient level, such as medical history, number of sick days, location of infection, and the like.
"According to the Ministry of Health, this is a protection of patients' privacy, but there is no need for patient names and other identifying information. An anonymous database can be built with clinical details that will allow researchers in Israel and around the world to understand more about the disease and identify the most common transmission routes."
