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The paradox of the "eternal quarantine": Covid continued to rise but Argentines are almost not afraid of contagion

2020-11-01T19:08:44.584Z


When there were many fewer positives, people believed they could get sicker than now. It arises from an index prepared by the Bunge y Born Foundation.


Emilia vexler

11/01/2020 3:52 PM

  • Clarín.com

  • Society

Updated 11/01/2020 3:52 PM

Seven months of quarantine.

And it continues.

But for some people - depending on the region of the country where they are - the quarantine was lifted long ago.

They lead a life "almost" prepandemic for the coronavirus.

The philosophy would be: "There is a risk, but you also have to live."

A continuous study in stages focused on the different forms of transit in Argentina the "longest quarantine in the world" effect.

Until this Saturday, the new infected in the last 24 hours were 13,924.

What do Argentines think of the possibility of getting infected?

The perception of the risk of falling ill from Covid-19 has been changing since March, when the ASPO began and the positive cases in the daily reports of the Ministry of Health were counted from 60. As time passed, there was a decrease in the risk perception and was inversely proportional to the circulation of COVID-19 and the increase in cases.

This was revealed in the final report of the Index of Propensity to Risk in Health (IPRIS) of the Bunge y Born Foundation, which carried out a survey of opinion in four stages on the determinants and motivations that condition decisions of isolation as a means of prevention of contagion .

The survey was conducted through a telephone survey of 15,107 Argentines over 15 years of age who reside in the interior of the country, between April 23 and July 17.

Thus, it was possible to identify groups of people -by location, age range, economic situation- with a certain reluctance to social isolation and, at the same time, the individual perception of risk of suffering from the disease. 

Over the months,

the change in what they think about the possibility of contagion was noticeable.

The same study in June showed that -without distinctions between social sectors-, 80% believed it was risky to leave the home, accepted isolation and adopted preventive care.

On the other hand, in the last stage of the report it was seen that the need to leave the house to work, exercise or take a walk, visit family, friends or partner brings with it a decrease in the belief that it is possible to be infected.

"The economic need to go out to work stabilized at a high point from the beginning and / or had a constant increase, so, to maintain isolation over time, it was necessary to take this aspect into account," they explain to

Clarín

.

But that's the pocket.

There are also psychological and social needs (going out to visit a relative or exercise), which "are more malleable and volatile when it comes to quarantine."

The variables of belief or not in contagion

According to the geographical variable, the provinces or regions with the lowest perception of risk were Corrientes, the City of Buenos Aires (CABA) and La Pampa, while where it was most perceived was in Tucumán, Greater Buenos Aires (GBA) and Jujuy.

Regarding the perception of risk, it was occasionally seen that it decreases with higher educational level (a variable that indicates the socioeconomic level of the respondent);

it increases in older people, those with pre-existing illnesses, who practice healthier habits.

Regarding gender, women perceive a greater risk than men.

Health variables are one of the most important factors in increasing risk perception.

Those with a pre-existing disease (such as diabetes, obesity, and hypertension, which are associated with a higher death rate from COVID-19), have a greater insight into the risk of becoming infected.

"Cuareterna", the endless quarantine 

The survey also found that adherence to quarantine has a strong relationship with the risk perceived by being outside the home, that is, the lower the perception of risk, the more the measure is conceptualized as authoritarian, rather than a greater risk perception, where quarantine is weighted in terms of “taking care of myself”, “taking care of the people I love” or “taking care of the health of citizens”, as were the response options.


Throughout the study, quarantine was understood as "authoritarian and unnecessary" by between 5.4% and 9.7% of those surveyed, when in the first stage of the survey it represented only 5% of the responses. 

Source: clarin

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