The fact that Biden has slumped to humiliating fifth place in New Hampshire has apparently blocked his presidential dream • Meanwhile, Bloomberg is leaping • Commentary

• Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders // Photo: AFP

The Democratic Party's New Hampshire state primaries were held yesterday. Although not a representative sample of the ethnic, social, and cultural mosaic of which the American nation is made up (since no less than 94 percent of all its residents are white), New Hampshire has long become, in public and in the American media, a benchmark that can be tapped and derived from its moods and preferences. Revealed, conclusions, and far-reaching lessons regarding the status and prospects of the contestants.

This is because of its second baptism of fire (after Iowa, where the selection process is different and more complex), in which the initial expectations and forecasts for them stand up to a real examination of the electoral law.

Indeed, it is against this backdrop that the peak interest in voting patterns in New Hampshire is understood, which in the past have repeatedly made fates - to grace and especially to the tribe - in the struggle for the long-term nomination. For example, the defeat of President Harry Truman, who surprisingly failed to run for Senator Estes Kipover in the 1952 New Hampshire pre-election elections, was a watershed for him.

Indeed, the weakness that radiated in this confrontation convinced him that this was not a local and point stumbling, but an expression of general trends and depth currents that crossed the borders of this local state. Truman therefore drew the obvious conclusion and immediately retired from the race. A similar picture was also revealed in the 1968 primaries. Although President Lyndon Johnson reached first place in the New Hampshire primaries, the fact that the gap between him and his rival, Sen. Eugene McCarthy, was much smaller than expected (7 percent) Implicit in weakening its level of support on the national level as well, leaving it to abandon the democratic campaign.

This time, too, the tune returned, and the tradition of killing giants in the New Hampshire primaries was resumed. This is when the state became the Valley of the Dead for Joe Biden, who until recently was considered the leading candidate to win the Democratic nomination, and enjoyed the advantage of almost all national and local public opinion polls for a full year.

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Although right now, Biden intends to wage a desperate battle in South Carolina (where the preliminary elections will take place on the 29th), the fact that he dropped to humiliating fifth place yesterday, with just 8.4 percent of support (!), Trailing not only behind winning Bernie Sanders And Pete Bottage, who won the silver medal in the New Hampshire race, but even after the sub-actresses in the drama before us, Senators Amy Clocher and Elizabeth Warren seemingly blocked their presidential dream.

Biden's fall

Indeed, Biden's downfall, of course, begs the question: How will the democratic race now develop, when the senior and central representative of the moderate and pragmatic stream is likely to soon be pushed to the edge of the stage? In the immediate term, there are no doubt that the two major victors in the campaign so far are Socialist worldview senator Bernie Sanders and former South Bend Indiana mayor Pete Buttidge.

While the latter won a surprising (albeit most pressing) victory in Iowa, Sanders debuted in New Hampshire and a man of only a modest 1.3 percent gap over who finished second, who is not a boutique. However, there is no guarantee that the paths of the two now leading the Democrat and enjoying a great momentum will be swallowed up (Sanders in view of his socialist worldview, Buttagej for his lack of experience, and in light of his low level of support The African American community).

Joe Biden // Photo: AP

The fact that the two big winners in the two rounds so far, Sanders and Bottige, are exposed to the turret and suffer material weaknesses on the way to the appointment, opens a wide window of opportunity for "third person" in the form of former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg to break into the center of the arena in an attempt to fill the The space that opened in the moderate center with Biden's sunset and accelerated decline.

Since joining the race late, the former mayor is set to begin his campaign only on "Big Tuesday," March 3. On the other hand, keep in mind that Bloomberg has extremely deep pockets, and so far has invested some $ 300 million of his personal wealth in a huge media blitz in the key countries he will face.

Bloomberg rises

The fact that his rise in the polls has been meteoric in recent days is indicative of the widespread exposure to his platform and positions. Next month, it will be clear if the demise of Democratic Bloomberg is different from that of a previous contender who entered the race at a relatively late stage of the 2008 primaries.

This is Republican candidate Rudy Giuliani, who threw all his rest on the state of Florida, and retired from the race as soon as he failed in his mission and came in only third.