Bernie Sanders is the new favorite Democratic candidate

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Is the Democratic candidacy of Bernie Sanders inevitable? 2:12

(CNN) - Voters have voted!

With the party assemblies of Iowa and the primary ones in New Hampshire now concluded, the scenario of the Democrats for 2020 is taking shape: it is a) clearer and b) different.

• READ: 5 conclusions of the New Hampshire Democratic primary

The main change is that we now have an obvious Top 2: there is Vermont senator Bernie Sanders and former South Bend mayor, Indiana, Pete Buttigieg, who was among the first places in both contests (Sanders took a slight advantage in New Hampshire ).

So who is leading? We consider that, for now, it is Sanders, due to several reasons.

First, Sanders has shown a certain appeal among black and Latino voters, who will begin to have a much greater decision in the nomination race, starting with Nevada party assemblies on February 22. Buttigieg remains an unproven product among those influential voter blocks. He could benefit from the accumulated momentum in the first two states, but that remains to be seen.

Second, nobody can raise money like Sanders. Its broad base of online donors who contribute some dollars is the envy of all other candidates in the race, which provides a massive influx of cash every time you need it. (Sanders raised $ 25 million in January alone.) That endless spring of donations means that this candidate is fully equipped to travel the distance (and beyond) in the process of the primary and party assemblies during the coming months. Buttigieg, while drastically exceeding fundraising expectations throughout 2019, is not yet in the same universe as Sanders.

Third, Sanders has previously done this whole matter of a national campaign. He participated in all the primary and party assemblies against Hillary Clinton in 2016. That helped him build organizations in most of these states, if not all. He exposed it to the voters. And he taught him to keep up to survive the effort. That is a great advantage, especially given that Buttigieg had never previously run for state office.

Without further ado, this is our new Top 5: the candidates most likely to win the Democratic nomination to face President Donald Trump in November.

5. Amy Klobuchar - Somehow and somehow, the Minnesota Senator still remains in this race. After a strong debate performance last Friday, Klobuchar catapulted herself into an impressive third place (at 20%) in the New Hampshire primary.

The case of eligibility for her is clear: on three occasions she has far exceeded the average democrat in a key midwestern state. However, Klobuchar has not yet won an electoral process and is far below in the national polls. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, who finished in a disappointing third place in Iowa and an even more daunting fourth place in New Hampshire, remains in the contest but has no obvious path for nomination, for now. While Warren slips, Klobuchar gets up. (Previous classification: it was not in the ranking)

4. Michael Bloomberg - The former mayor of New York City could not have had better results in the first 10 days of voting than he has obtained. Sanders, the most liberal candidate in the race, settled as the favorite. Former Vice President Joe Biden of the centrist establishment is weak enough. And Trump by turning to Twitter daily to criticize "Mini Mike," has raised the billionaire in the eyes of the casual voter. In addition, there is this: Bloomberg has spent more than $ 350 million on advertising, which seems to be working as it has increased rapidly in national polls and in the states that will vote on March 3 and later. (Previous classification: position number 5)

3. Joe Biden - Not a good thing for the former vice president. Biden was in a disappointing fourth place in Iowa, with an even weaker fifth place in New Hampshire. Nor is it surprising that he stumbled in the national polls after these results. The good news for Biden, and why he is not completely out of contention, is that the primary calendar will reach more favorable ground in the various states of Nevada and South Carolina. However, make no mistake: Biden must win soon, or it is a farewell. (Previous classification: position number 1)

2. Pete Buttigieg - Buttigieg is the candidate with the greatest natural talent left in the race, and is turning his potential into real votes: he won in Iowa and reached a surprisingly close second place in New Hampshire. If he manages to find a way to connect with Hispanic voters (in Nevada) and black voters (in South Carolina) in the way he came (predominantly) to white voters in Iowa and New Hampshire, he will move to first place in our ranking (Previous classification: position number 3)

1. Bernie Sanders - The revolution is in your hands. Sanders has received the most votes in Iowa and New Hampshire. He has taken the lead in national polls, seems to be the only candidate who can count on exceeding the 15% threshold in most states, and has the money to go the long distance. The problem is that he won in New Hampshire with the lowest percentage of votes in modern history, and has the lowest percentage of any Democratic leader in the national poll since the Democrats were proportional with a threshold of 15% in 1992. Sanders It is the favorite. But it is a weak one. Previous classification: position number 1)

Amy KlobucharBernie Sanders2020 Democratic candidatesDemocratJoe BidenMichael BloombergPete Buttigieg