For the third time in the past year, the party leaders will try to form the government • We have discussed with the political advisers what possible scenarios • Trump's campaign manager in Israel: "The real possibilities - a blue-and-white joining Likud, or a social government with Labor-Bridge-Meretz"

• Likud victory celebrations after declaration of results on election night // Photo: Gideon Markovich

• What will decide in Cockpit? Blue and white heads after announcing the results // Photo: Coco

• Joining the government? Lieberman // Photo: Joshua Yosef

After the political picture in Israel changed for the third time in a year, political advisers believe that this time - Netanyahu will succeed in forming a government. As for Gantz and White Blue, despite the belligerent post-loss statements - the advisers believe they will eventually try to find their way to the coalition, in one script or another.

Strategic Advisor and Public Relations Ariel Sander, US President Donald Trump's Campaign Manager in Israel and Strategic Advisor at Gilead, explains that the party's campaigns are still underestimated, but he said there will probably not be a fourth election and a Netanyahu-led government. Sander lists four possible scenarios: "We are waiting for the final result, but it seems that in principle the prime minister will be able to form a narrow government with defectors. But it is a relatively poor option because it is very difficult to run government 61 and very difficult to act in the Knesset, especially on the background of the trial expected of the prime minister."

"Blue and white may have been defeated, but in the long run this is an achievement"

"The more realistic possibility is the joining of blue and white to this government, when they get relatively powerful and also present to their public the argument that they protect the Israeli judicial system. Such a government is a political achievement for the prime minister, but the law will make it difficult. Politically defeated, but in the long run it will be an achievement for her. "

"Another possibility is the establishment of a social government, with Labor-March-March. True, Nitzan Horowitz and Yair Golan would be a big frog to swallow, but maybe Orly Levy and Amir Peretz can get social files, and have a long-term impact on Israel's social character, which is significant for both".

"After these three options, there is a possibility of a minority government with Lieberman's outside support. Avigdor Lieberman does not want a government with ultra-Orthodox people, but he also does not want more elections. Therefore, there is a possibility that he will not oppose the government when sworn in, and this will not be unreasonable. "Especially when Lieberman's important promise is that there will be no other election campaign."

In terms of Benny Gantz's status and the possibility of being replaced, Sander says, "Benny Gantz has a big problem. He is in his toughest political moment. Tomorrow he will be on the target of many factors. His main way to recover is by taking responsibility and leadership as in the military, and deciding on entry. To a government headed by the prime minister. "

"It's a feat that the job has managed to survive"

Regarding the Labor Party and its right, Sander says: "Once the campaign is yes or no Benjamin Netanyahu, neither of these parties had a chance. This is a feat they have survived. The work also has a huge interest that there will be no more rounds for their bleeding to continue. Neither Shaked nor Amir Peretz could do more than they did. Netanyahu led a Winner campaign, compared to Blue and White who put their campaign on immunity, and once Netanyahu withdrew the immunity, they remained without an alternative campaign and stuttered or dragged along the line. "

Tami Shinkman, communications consultant, strategy and political campaign manager, who led the public campaign for the release of Gilad Shalit and served as a strategic adviser to Boogie Ya'alon before joining Gantz, explains how Prime Minister Netanyahu came prepared for the third election.

"The prime minister constantly worked and created events, or cut short the fruits of other events. Blue and White stuttered and did not initiate anything. It began with the leaders' meeting in the country where the prime minister starred, continued with Naama Issachar and the meeting with Putin, the US summit and then the initiative. The annexation. By the way, when it comes to annexation, in blue and white, they did not speak uniformly, responding stuttering and arguing among themselves when they were caught unprepared. In all these cases, the prime minister was at the center and created momentum, and blue and white created nothing of her own. "

"On the Right Acted for Netanyahu, Blue and White Shot at Military Court"

"It also went on with the prime minister's tremendous footwork and willingness to target and reach his target audiences. The prime minister looked at where his supporters were - and got there himself, spoke to the people and also targeted them and was in technological contact. He was really maximizing his power. She did not put any effort into her goals, and tried repeatedly to move voters from the right bloc until finally - she also shot inside the IDF, unlike Netanyahu who learned the lessons of the past and formulated the entire right-wing bloc under him.

"In addition to Ben Gvir, all the right-wing and ultra-Orthodox parties acted in their audiences without fighting with the prime minister. On the left, white and white fired on Labor-Meretz Bridge and also kept the Arab public out of it. "Set the framework for the attitude of all politicians who have a connection to corruption anyway, and simply white failed all the way in the braking and counter-attack. As soon as Netanyahu waived his request for blue-and-white immunity, there was no alternative campaign and stuttering."

In relation to Benny Gantz's leadership, Schinkman believes that he is stabilizing himself and will not experience domestic appeals. "Benny Gantz came to politics a year ago, and to be a politician does not serve as chief of staff. Being a politician is a profession that requires a whole different attitude and activity. In it, he was in a long and difficult election campaign under enormous pressure, and actually brought very good achievements. Therefore, his status in solid white blue - Yair Lapid will not be burned, and certainly not Ashkenazi and Moshe Ya'alon, who have with Gantz Fighter Fellowship, will fight him. In my opinion, the leadership of Blue and White will last and will not challenge Gantz. "

Regarding the possibility of a unity government, Shinkman notes that "despite Netanyahu's and Gantz's speeches after the results, none of them closed the door to a unity government, but neither spoke about it. Netanyahu did not speak out against such a government and Gantz did not speak out. Open, or at least that's what the public wants to hear. "

"Lieberman's bargaining power has weakened significantly"

Strategic Advisor Amnon Samaria believes that the path to Netanyahu-led government has opened, and there is no other option. "Contrary to the April 2019 elections, the right-wing bloc had 60 and yet it failed to form a government, this time with 59 or 58 seats in Netanyahu's victory, and the only one that could form a government. Even Gantz and Lieberman could not ignore the absolute Jewish majority that gave Netanyahu a clear victory. Because some members of the left-center parties will not, morally, allow this to happen. "

"Since the mental state of the Israeli public today will not allow the left-wing center to torpedo a government, Netanyahu is in the position of anyone worthy of forming a government. Anyone who tries to prevent it will be considered a reluctant and anti-democratic point. The starting point should assume that Netanyahu will take the right bloc with him "Ultra-Orthodox and only then will examine who can join. There is a possibility of bringing down defectors, and there will be a priority for an organized group that will split up and join the Likud.

"Labor party may disappear"

On the legal proceedings against Netanyahu, Samaria said: "The weakening of blue and white, which will probably result in disputes and internal debates, will ease Likud's job. The elections were in the shadow of an indictment, with a clear decision in favor of Netanyahu against the law enforcement system. Trust in Shi Nitzan and Mandelblit. Everyone who supported Netanyahu did so despite, and possibly because of, the indictments. Those who opposed him, certainly the Arabs, did so for no reason but for legal reasons. Nevertheless, the indictment is unlikely to be dismissed and the trial will be in order only This will not be used as the sword of public legitimacy for Ra's various actions The government ".

On the post-electoral situation, Maramon says: "The Labor party tragedy, which it also had to join the far left, and also shrink to 3 Knesset representatives. The party's only opportunity to recover is in the issue of the resilience of Israel, the Gantz party. Gantz could serve as a Knesset member for 4 years? Will his legal affairs evaporate or begin to haunt him? Will the rumors about him - from his abusive deal with Nava Jacobs to his personal assistant - become solid information or rolling media material if Gantz establishes himself as a significant figure in Israeli politics "The Labor Party will disappear."