But why Paris and Val-d'Oise are in red on the active circulation map of the virus? The question came back in a loop since the presentation of the first maps of France of the Coronavirus, Thursday evening, by the Minister of Health, Olivier Véran.
This Friday evening again, behind the Director General of Health, Jérôme Salomon, who made his daily information point, these same two departments are still in red. The only ones in France with Mayotte.
Deconfinement: the map of the “red”, “orange” or “green” departments for May 1
According to this intermediate map, the epidemic activity would be stronger therefore in the capital and the Val-d'Oise, than in the other departments of Ile-de-France and the Oise, in orange.
But how do the authorities define a "red" department for the spread of the virus?
What is used for this assessment is the rate of emergency visits, as explained to us by the Ministry of Health this Friday.
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"Santé Publique France allows us to monitor the proportion of people who come to the emergency room for suspected Covid-19," details the Directorate General of Health. These data come from the Oscour network, which has been in place for many years. This indicator is a reflection of the intensity of viral circulation at a time and in a given territory. "
In green, the departments where less than 6% of emergency visits concern the Covid-19, in orange, the emergency services which record between 6 and 10% of visits to Covid-19. Beyond that, it's red. It is the addresses of hospitals, not those of patients, that are taken into account. This is the case for Paris (19.7%) and for Val-d'Oise (13.9%) according to the epidemiological bulletin of Public Health France.
Over the past four weeks, the number of Covid suspicion emergency admissions has been dropping everywhere
Not enough, however, plan a trip to the sea or cool champagne if you live in Créteil or Evry. With more than 9%, Val-de-Marne and Essonne just flirt with 10%, followed by Seine-Saint-Denis (8.11%), Hauts-de-Seine (6.85% ), Seine-et-Marne (5.12%) and Yvelines (4.97%). Regional average: 10.82%.
In absolute value, the number of people who go to the emergency room on suspicion of Covid, fell for the fourth week in a row across the region, all departments combined, "the biggest drop being recorded in Seine-et-Marne (-53 , 2%) ".
We are talking here only of suspicion of Covid and not of confirmed positive cases. To find out how many people are actually infected, it will be necessary to wait for the tests to be carried out on a large scale.
According to a study led by the Institut Pasteur, 1.5 million Ile-de-France residents will have been contaminated by Covid-19 by May 11. Remember that 41,821 Ile-de-France residents have tested positive since the start of the epidemic.
Second criterion retained for the schedule of deconfinement, in addition to the circulation of the virus: the rate of occupation of the resuscitation beds. It is still very high in Ile-de-France (1573 hospitalizations in intensive care this May 1 for an initial capacity of 1200 beds). 13,000 patients are still hospitalized in the region, which represents »40% of hospitalizations in France. The 6000 dead mark was crossed in hospitals in Ile-de-France alone.
The two maps combined, it is the whole of Ile-de-France, and the Oise, which are in the red, like all the northeast of France. AND this six days before the first arbitrations on the modalities of deconfinement.
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