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Trump's Nightmare: Will Texas Go with Biden? | Israel today

2020-05-16T23:19:57.542Z


| United StatesSince the 1970s, the southern state has been a stronghold of the Republican Party. Now it is estimated that the race between the two may be closer than ever. Plowing the State, President Trump in Austin, Texas // Photo: Reuters Texas, "The Lone Star State" is one of the special states in the United States. Texas started out as an independent state, annexed to the United States, became a wild bo...


Since the 1970s, the southern state has been a stronghold of the Republican Party. Now it is estimated that the race between the two may be closer than ever.

  • Plowing the State, President Trump in Austin, Texas // Photo: Reuters

Texas, "The Lone Star State" is one of the special states in the United States. Texas started out as an independent state, annexed to the United States, became a wild book area of ​​the United States and oil discoveries made it one of the largest and most influential states in the United States.

Now, Texas, with all of its 38 electoral elections, the state with the second electoral union in California after the election, could become the scales in the 2020 presidential election, deciding between Democratic nominee Joe Biden and President Donald Trump. 

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Texas, which has been a stronghold of the Democratic Party since the late 1970s, is expected to see a close race between the Democratic and Republican candidates, the state's largest newspaper predicts, and its third in the United States, the Houston Chronicle. The paper, which leads to a moderate conservative line, predicts that unemployment, loss of income and the fear of lack of medical insurance coverage will lead many Biden supporters and voters to come out and vote.

The paper states that Democrats feel an opportunity to win Texas that they haven't had in decades. Bill Clinton in the 1996 presidential election lost in the southern state by a relatively small five percent gap, but that was mainly because a third Texas state challenger received many votes from conservatives in the state. 

"Texas Emergency"

Now the Democrats are preparing for a battle which, if won, may decide the outcome of the presidential election. Texas Republican Party Chairman James Dickey warned his party members to be complacent, saying Democrats are full of energy and surprisingly capable. Although he rejects the risk that Texas may turn blue, the Democratic Party's color vote in November, he admits: "Texas is in Emergency." 



President Trump has also spent more money and time on Texas than any Republican presidential candidate before him. In the months before the plague hit in the United States, the president has visited no less than 14 times in the country and rallies have been attended by large crowds.

The Houston Chronicle quotes Professor Cal Gillson, a political science professor at the Methodist University of Texas, as saying, "It is not hard to imagine how the result in Texas will be decided by a single percentage or even by a fraction. If Trump finds it difficult to hold in Texas, that marks a big problem For him on the national level. "

Depth changes

But despite the lecturer's comments, the difficulties the Trump campaign in Texas may have been more connected to the processes that have been going through the state itself over the past two decades. The Hispanic population in the country has grown steadily since the early 1990s and now accounts for 37% of the population in the country. Alongside the general tendency of Hispanics to favor Democratic candidates stands Trump's tough stance on immigration and harsh statements about immigrants attributed to him.



But it is not just the Hispanic community in the country that is risking candidacy and that of Trump. Texas's economic prosperity has attracted a growing urban population in recent decades, with many parts of it traditionally supporting Democrats. These demographic trends show that, unlike other Southern states, the gap between Republicans and Democrats in Texas has narrowed over the years, regardless of the candidacy and of Trump.

Those who are more worried about Biden's victory in Texas are those who benefit from the state's oil industry. The "New Deal" vision promoted by the Democratic Party could be a death blow to one of the nation's largest industries. But will the finances of the oil industry, Trump's charisma and conservative tradition in the state be enough to prevent a makeover in Texas? We will only really know in November.

Source: israelhayom

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