Eduardo Paladini
07/13/2020 - 13:24
- Clarín.com
- Politics
Due to the remoteness and the small number of cases, Tierra del Fuego is usually outside the radar of the coronavirus analysis. A report based on official data, however, places it at the top in a ranking with all the provinces of the country. What was its merit? Becoming the country's district in June where the economic and social containment measures to combat the pandemic had the greatest impact. The data appears in the last publication of the consulting firm Analytica .
Almost 2,400 kilometers (straight line) from the city of Buenos Aires, and with 161 officially registered infections (including 13 from the Falkland Islands), Tierra del Fuego is one of the provinces with the most flexibilities in the context of isolation. One of the last openings was the habilitation of kindergartens and nurseries.
"The province went from being one of the districts with the highest number of infected per million inhabitants to almost completely stopping the spread of the virus. At the same time, it managed to implement an important package of assistance measures that are yielding good results, such as postponing for 90 days gross income payments; allocate $ 370 million for food assistance and energy subsidies to vulnerable families; implement the PROGRESO plan for $ 2,000 million to fund lines of credit from the provincial bank and subsidies in shops and productive sectors, "he details. the report, which presents Tierra del Fuego as a "success story". It is governed by a radical K, Gustavo Melella.
The Local Response Index (IRL) prepared by the consultant takes into account three parameters, always based on data published in official gazettes or public bodies: New Assistance Measures, Released Activities and Economic Impact . The number 100 is taken as an average and from there the provinces are located in shades of green, if it exceeds it; and in red, if they are below.
- Tierra del Fuego reached 149 points in June.
- The others that exceeded the average were: Tucumán (142), La Pampa (136), Santiago del Estero (134), La Rioja (131), Santa Fe (130), San Luis (128), Misiones (126), Catamarca (123), Córdoba (113), Santa Cruz (107), Neuquén (106) and Mendoza (106).
- Below average, on the other hand, were Corrientes (98), Salta (94), San Juan (93), Río Negro (85), Formosa (82), Ciudad de Buenos Aires (68), Chubut (68), Entre Ríos (64), Buenos Aires (63), Chaco (53) and Jujuy (25).
By way of summary, the report explains startup:
- "As of June , the decoupling of realities between the province of Buenos Aires and CABA -the epicenter of the pandemic- with the rest of the provinces deepened . Although some cases, such as Chaco and Jujuy, had to go back in phase, in Most of the country economic activity is already released around 90% of the geographical gross product, unlike the AMBA, where the restrictions continue during July. "
- "We are going through a stage where the fine tuning of the provincial government teams is decisive. Pressing the activity sector by sector and adopting measures in those where the recovery of activity is slower is essential for the effects of the pandemic do not leave traces in the long term . One peculiarity is that the consumption of families, the main engine for an eventual recovery, is very punished by the fall in income and high indebtedness, making it difficult to exit. "
- "The loss of jobs and the closing of companies can destroy capacities, leading to the coronavirus being no longer a crisis of flows (due to falling sales) to one of stocks (destruction of physical capital and knowledge)."
The extension of the quarantine with greater restrictions affects the provinces with more cases, the two Buenos Aires and Chaco. As explained by the document of the consultant directed by Ricardo Delgado, economist and former official of the Government of Cambiemos, "each provincial IRL reflects, during this stage of the pandemic, mainly the reaction of local producers and consumers to the opening schemes of activities implemented for each district . Since May, the weight of the support measures for families and companies in the IRL has been reduced, due to the logic of liberalization of the economy in most of the provinces. "
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Watch the special"It is precisely for this reason - the report adds - that the economic gap between the districts with the most restrictive quarantines and the rest is getting bigger. The lower levels of collection impact on the possibilities that the less 'flexible' have to promote new containment measures. Notoriously, here are the CABA and PBA cases. "
Then he concludes: "In those provinces where the economic offer is released by over 90%, there is a heterogeneous behavior . In some, such as Tierra del Fuego and Tucumán, demand is reacting better than expected. The opposite occurs, for example, in Mendoza and Salta ".