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Written by: Zheng Cuibi
2020-07-21 20:13
Last update date: 2020-07-21 20:13New crown pneumonia is ravaging Hong Kong. The first confirmed case appeared on January 23. In nearly half a year, today (21st) the cumulative number of confirmed cases exceeded 2,000, with a total of 2,019 confirmed cases and 1 suspected case. In the past six months, Hong Kong has experienced three waves of outbreaks. The "third wave" started on July 5. As of today, a total of 761 cases have been recorded in 17 days, accounting for 37% of the total number of cases.
Although the number of confirmed diagnoses has dropped slightly in the past two days, Xu Shuchang, chair professor of the Department of Respiratory Medicine at the Chinese University School of Medicine, pointed out that the number of confirmed and preliminary confirmed cases per day is still more than 100. It is too early to assess whether the new measures introduced by the government are effective. Xu believes that we should observe this weekend before we can judge the effectiveness of government measures.
The third wave of the epidemic in Hong Kong started on July 5 and has only been 17 days until today (21st). The new wave of epidemic has recorded 761 cases, including most local cases and a few imported cases. If calculated based on the entire epidemic, there are a total of 2019 confirmed cases and 1 suspected case in Hong Kong. In other words, since the emergence of the third wave of epidemic alone, newly confirmed cases have accounted for 37% of the cumulative number.
The third wave of epidemics averaged 44.7 cases a day
Taking the 17 days of the third wave of the epidemic alone, the average daily number of confirmed cases was 44.7. On July 19, a record of 108 new cases in a single day was set, which was the highest peak since the outbreak of the epidemic in half a year. Although the number of confirmed cases has dropped to 73 and 61 respectively in the past two days, Dr. Zhang Zhujun, Director of the Infectious Disease Division of the Center for Health Protection of the Department of Health, stated that there are more than 60 preliminary confirmed cases today, and the number of confirmed cases is also related to the progress of the laboratory. The daily confirmed numbers explain the changes in the epidemic.
▼The second round of new measures for the third wave of the epidemic▼
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Xu Shuchang: We can’t regard the epidemic as a fall, nor have we seen that the epidemic has passed its peak
Xu Shuchang, chair professor of the Department of Respiratory System at the Faculty of Medicine of CUHK, said that the number of daily diagnoses and preliminary diagnoses is still over 100. "It cannot be seen that the epidemic has declined, nor has the epidemic peaked." He believes that the government's latest round of restrictive measures was only officially implemented yesterday (20th). It is too early to assess whether the new measures are effective. It should be observed this weekend to judge the effectiveness of government measures. He pointed out that if there are future patients who become ill after the new measures take effect (that is, on the 20th of this month), more attention should be paid.
Only when local infection cases are reduced to "sometimes first" or zero cases can be relaxed
Xu Shuchang also believes that the government will require flight crews and crews to be tested on July 8. Therefore, the number of imported cases will not decrease. In the future, we should also observe the number of local infections and whether there are any declines in cases of unknown origin. "It is best to drop to nothing. ". He said that when the number of local infections in Hong Kong drops to "sometimes first" or even becomes sporadic, the restrictions can be relaxed.
Xu Shuchang pointed out that the daily number of diagnoses and preliminary diagnoses are still over 100. It is not possible to see that the epidemic has declined, nor can it be determined whether it has peaked. (Photo by Lu Yiming / Profile Picture)
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New Coronary Pneumonia Xu Shuchang
