01 Interview | Lin Cheng was re-elected to freeze water? Tian Beijun: Most of the substitutions smiled that the chief executive was a laborious job

Political situation

Written by: Zheng Rongdi and Tang Jiaqi

2020-08-18 07:00

The Legislative Council election, which was originally regarded as the "final battle", was suddenly postponed, and the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress made a final decision to arrange for all members to transition for one year. The political circle began to turn the topic to the next election, a year and a half later, the chief executive will be replaced in 2022.

Tian Beijun, Honorary Chairman of the Liberal Party, who is in politics and business circles, accepted an exclusive interview with "Hong Kong 01" to discuss the political and economic situation in detail. When talking about Carrie Lam’s re-election, he thinks that it is becoming more and more difficult for the chief executive of Hong Kong to do it. ?" He described it as a drudgery, questioning who else would be willing to take on the stick. Tian Beijun believes that the actual situation will depend on the situation two years later. He believes that Beijing will consider the public opinion of Hong Kong. "According to the current public opinion, most people change, unless the public's opinion of her changes in the past two years."

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Since the National People's Congress passed the legislative decision of Hong Kong's "National Security Law", the United States announced sanctions on Hong Kong, and China has counterattacked with strong moves. Hong Kong has become a small place for China and the United States. Just a few days before the interview, the Hong Kong government made a high profile and arrested Li Zhiying, the founder of Next Media, and the news appeared on the front pages of many international media.

Unwilling to see Li Zhiying be transferred to the mainland for trial

In the face of a series of social unrest, the business community generally chooses to stand on the sidelines. Tian Beijun said that most of the business community has basically no objection to the passage of the "Hong Kong National Security Law". It depends on the actual situation. "Li Zhiying has been arrested these days. , Many people will observe future trends.

"If only a very small number of people want to hand over to the Mainland, I hope to not include the Pan-Democratic legislators or Lai Zhiying." Tian Beijun explained that the so-called "very few" should involve high-level political issues, such as foreign spies being prosecuted and detained in Hong Kong. The central government believes that the Hong Kong government lacks experience to deal with and wants to return to the Mainland, "not referring to the group of Hong Kong lawmakers, or even those who had been to foreign lobbyists before July 1 (before the National Security Act came into force)."

The US presidential election is approaching, and Trump frequently plays the "China card" in an attempt to add points to himself. (AP)

The business community hopes the White House replaces to welcome a turn in Sino-US relations

The financial investment industry has been affected by the Sino-US trade war. Tian Beijun pointed out that Chinese companies that were originally listed in the United States have returned to Hong Kong for listing earlier, and from this perspective it is beneficial to drive the Hong Kong financial market. However, after the US resorted to sanctions, US-funded institutions dare not invest in Hong Kong anymore. However, Tian believes that there is no need for foreign investors to withdraw their capital. "Even if you (the company) move to Singapore, there is no benefit. When the US government wants to sanction a Chinese company, it does not matter whether the office is in Hong Kong or Singapore."

Tian Beijun continued that under the Sino-US war, the business community has nothing to do and can only adopt a wait-and-see attitude. The short-term variable is the US presidential election. "American polls believe that Trump will lose. If the new government comes on, can you expect to be hostile to China? Can the attitude be eased?"

Advocate limited opening of mainland groups to stimulate consumption

Tian Beijun pointed out that hundreds of thousands of local wage earners engaged in hotel tourism, catering and retail, have been closed due to the epidemic to combat grassroots income. He suggested that the government can relax quarantine in some areas in the Mainland with few confirmed cases, such as Beijing, open local tour groups and free travel to Hong Kong, and exempt the 14-day testing period. Think that the measures can help the local economy to recover.

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