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Corona in graphics: How strong the second wave will be - and what we can do about it

2020-08-30T21:22:20.770Z


The current corona numbers show that a second wave is building up here in particular. Did the relaxation of the pandemic rules help? What role did summer vacation play? We answer the most important questions with graphics and numbers.


The current corona numbers show that a second wave is building up here in particular. Did the relaxation of the pandemic rules help? What role did summer vacation play? We answer the most important questions with graphics and numbers.

  • The coronavirus * will shape the year 2020. After the first critical phase of infections in April, a second wave * has been emerging since July .
  • What influence did the easing have - and do many vacationers bring the virus to Germany?
  • We show the current data status for the second Corona wave in graphics.
  • Basic facts about the corona virus * and the corona news from Germany can be found here. We also offer you the current number of cases in Germany on a map .

Munich - The Corona * pandemic and its consequences keep the world in suspense. Governments are trying to react to the ever changing events and to act right in the unprecedented situation. At the beginning of the pandemic , the aim was to reduce the number of infections - which was also achieved. After an initial critical phase in March and April, the number of new infections fell sharply.

As soon as the number of new infections was decreasing, the first experts warned of a second wave . She was expected in autumn. A look at the figures from the end of August shows that this forecast has not come true, however - a second wave was even emerging earlier .

How strong will the second corona wave be in Germany?

The previous high was at the beginning of April in Germany - there were 6,563 new cases within one day. After that, the number of infections gradually decreased and leveled off at a few hundred cases per day. But in July and August the trend reversed: More than 1,000 daily cases alerted the Robert Koch Institute and politics. Many experts are currently speaking of a second corona wave with a view to this dynamic development.

The graphic below shows the corona cases reported per day in Germany. Reporting delays on the weekends sometimes lead to high fluctuations within a week.

The graphic is not displayed correctly for you? Show diagram in full here.

What is the contribution of political measures and relaxation to the corona situation in Germany?

It is undisputed that the extensive restrictions and behavioral requirements in the first wave significantly reduced the number of infections. It is also undisputed that the loosening in the second phase gradually set the framework again, which has led to new infections in more and more people.

It is difficult to say in detail how the individual loosenings have and are having an impact on the number of new infections . To this day, many individual factors influence the corona situation , which cannot always be clearly separated in the analysis. From mid-March, for example, a worldwide travel warning was in effect in Germany. After that, however, the numbers rose sharply. On June 15, the travel warning finally camerepealed for the 26 states of the European Union as well as Great Britain, Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and Liechtenstein.

Another important place of new infections are households and celebrations. These meetings took place to a much lesser extent in the height of the first wave. But current figures now show how the increased activities in the private sector in the wake of the relaxation also drove the infection rate upwards. A current study by the Robert Koch Institute shows that the majority of corona outbreaks take place in the household.

The graph below shows the new infections reported and some significant policy measures and easing over time. The curve shows the 7-day average of the newly reported infected. This compensates for strong fluctuations that always occur on weekends.

The graphic is not displayed correctly for you? Show diagram in full here.

What effect do vacationers have on the corona situation?

Since the end of July, special rules have been in effect for those returning from Corona risk areas. A corona test is mandatory. In the course of this, it is now also clear from which countries infected travelers return to Germany. It shows that most of the infected in the past four weeks came from Kosovo (2,528 infected), Croatia (1,797) and Turkey (1,590). But many other European countries also appear in the statistics.

The diagram shows the countries in which most of the people returning from travel were believed to have been infected before their entry. In individual cases, this information may be inaccurate because the RKI does not determine the exact location of the infection.

The graphic is not displayed correctly for you? Show diagram in full here.

Background of the data: the Robert Koch Institute, the Federal Republic of Central as official research institution * registered in Germany serves as the source Corona cases determined . The number of new infections reflects the current corona situation well, as it indicates how many people were infected within 24 hours. In some cases we have made our own calculations based on RKI data in order to make the diagrams and values ​​more informative and readable. (lb) * Merkur.de is part of the Ippen-Digital network

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2020-08-30

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