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The death of Bader Ginsburg reshapes the US presidential election
Trump was given an opportunity to divert the debate from the corona, and excite the right with the expansion of the conservative majority at the top.
Democrats are furious after Republicans prevented Obama from appointing a judge in a similar scenario in 2016, hoping to attract women who fear the abolition of the right to abortion.
"It could significantly affect the election"
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United States
Ruth Bader
Donald Trump
Joe Biden
Reuters
Saturday, 19 September 2020, 14:14
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In the video: Supreme Court Justice Bader Ginzburg passed away at the age of 87 (Walla NEWS!)
The death of United States Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg led to the opening of a fierce political struggle over a replacement, and the battle for the abruptly vacated seat rose to the center of the agenda in the presidential election in a month and a half.
Ginsburg, who died last night (Saturday) at the age of 87 following complications from pancreatic cancer, was a staunch supporter of women’s rights and was the leading liberal judge on the Supreme Court.
The death of the Jewish judge gives President Donald Trump an opportunity to expand the Conservative majority to six to three, at a time of deep divisions in America.
Before her death, she said her biggest hope was that her successor would be appointed after the election.
Political advisers say the Republican president, who has already appointed two conservative judges throughout his tenure - Neil Gorsch in 2017 and Brett Cabano in 2018 - will now be bolstered by his efforts to change the discourse from his treatment of the Corona plague, which claimed the lives of some 200,000 Americans.
The issue is expected to spur both its conservative base of supporters and Democrats who fear a change in the balance of power in the Supreme Court.
"It's going to ignite huge battles. It could have a significant impact on the election," said David Gargan, a political adviser who has served in four different governments, Republicans and Democrats.
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Chief Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg died at the age of 87
Will try to inflame his base.
Bader Ginsburg at the inauguration of Judge Kabnau, 2018 (Photo: AFP)
Senate Republican Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has already said he intends to vote for any candidate Trump proposes, while Democrats have called for an immediate seat until January 20, when the November 3 election winner will be sworn in.
Trump is lagging behind his Democratic rival Joe Biden in polls for months, and Democrats have tried to frame the election as a referendum on Trump, and especially on his response to the epidemic.
"Every week that Donald Trump doesn't have to talk about the corona virus is a positive thing for him," said Joel Payne, a Democratic strategic adviser who worked on Hillary Clinton's 2016 campaign.
"Historically, Republicans are voting for the court. I think some Republicans will see it as a surprise in October to bolster the enthusiasm at their voter base," Payne said.
"But I think progressives understand what's at stake in this election better than ever."
Democrats are still furious at Republicans' refusal to advance former President Barack Obama's candidate to the Supreme Court, Merrick Garland, following the death of conservative Judge Antonin Scalia in 2016.
McConnell said at the time that the Senate should not elect a candidate to the court in an election year, but he has changed his position since then and Democrats accuse him of hypocrisy.
"Hello RBG".
An impromptu memorial site at the foot of the Supreme Court, tonight (Photo: Reuters)
Trump has already tried to take advantage of the enthusiasm on the right from his court appointments, adding 20 names to his list of candidates earlier this month.
The Susan B. Anthony List, one of the most prominent anti-abortion voices, said the Republicans' opportunity to fill the Supreme Court seat is "a turning point for the nation in the struggle to protect the weakest, the fetuses."
Biden, for his part, has not released a list of potential Supreme Court candidates, but has pledged to elect a black woman if one of the seats becomes vacant during his tenure.
Democrats hope to retake the Senate, and Republicans risk the Liberals adopting more radical proposals in the event Trump replaces Ginsburg and loses in November.
Among the proposals raised, even before the death of the veteran judge and women's rights pioneer, was the expansion of the Supreme Court to balance Trump's appointments.
"Caucon Dawson, a Republican adviser and former chairman of the Republican Party of South Carolina, said the changes in the Supreme Court could help Trump among moderate Republicans. He said they may not like him personally, but support his policies." Dawson said
, however, he added that a hasty promotion of the candidate to the Supreme Court just before the election could ultimately hurt Republicans, especially senators vying for tough battles for another term in November, including Susan Collins from Maine and Martha Maxelli from Arizona.
The right to abortion in danger?
Conservative activists have been hoping for years to get enough votes in the Supreme Court to overturn the 1973 Roe-Wade historic ruling that upheld abortions across the state.
In 2016, during the campaign, Trump promised to appoint judges to overturn that ruling.
However, in July, despite a conservative majority, the Supreme Court repealed a law against abortions in Louisiana by a majority of five to four.
Andrew Feldman, a strategic adviser on progressive issues, said the threat of the right to abortion could exacerbate Trump's plight among women voters.
"When you ask the women from these suburbs for the right to vote, I will take our side in this debate on any given day," he said.
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