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Report: Iran refrains from major action against US to not strengthen Trump
According to the New York Times, Khamenei halted plans for a surprise attack before the election, such as damaging ships or oil facilities in the Gulf.
This is out of an assessment that it would justify American military action and assist the president.
The supreme leader even halted widespread reactions against Israel and contented himself with approving cyber operations
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Iran
United States
Donald Trump
Ali Khamenei
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Sunday, 20 September 2020, 10:14
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In the video: Pompeo called on the UN Security Council to return sanctions on Iran (Photo: Reuters, Edited by Shaul Adam)
Iran is refraining from taking major action against the United States in order not to strengthen President Donald Trump's chances of being re-elected in November, the New York Times reported yesterday (Saturday) from US and other intelligence officials.
At this point, at the behest of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Tehran is content with just cyber operations.
According to the report, Iran has abandoned its intention to launch a surprise attack ahead of the election, such as damaging shipping lanes in the Persian Gulf or oil facilities in the region.
This, on the understanding that this attack will be less effective due to the corona epidemic.
In addition, Iran believes that Trump will be able to inflame his support base in such a case and will have the opportunity for a military response against it.
According to US intelligence sources, the Iranian leadership believes that restraint is the best way to prevent Trump's victory.
This is despite increasing pressure and rhetoric on the part of Washington, including the return of all international sanctions on Tehran.
According to the New York Times, President and National Security Adviser Robert O'Brien is trying to paint Iran as an identical threat to Russia in the upcoming elections, but intelligence officials and other experts disagree on that position.
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Awaiting results in November.
Khamenei (Photo: Reuters)
Even senior Indian government officials say Tehran has been exercising restraint recently.
Elliott Abrams, the administration's special envoy to Iran, said it was due to the assassination of Quds Force commander Qassem Suleimani in January this year.
Although US intelligence, relative to Iran, is often found to be inaccurate, sources said the conclusion reached is consistent with Tehran's other actions in the Middle East.
Although the Iranian leadership is convinced that the United States and Israel are conducting operations against the country, it has refrained from responding significantly to the sabotage operation at the Natanz uranium enrichment facility in July.
It is estimated that Israel is behind the explosion of the advanced centrifuges, but Iran has not held it publicly responsible.
Tehran believes that this is a trap designed to attract it to respond, and then justify military action by the United States or Israel.
On Friday, the aircraft carrier "Nimitz" and the ships accompanying it entered the Persian Gulf.
The navy said that although it was a mission set in advance, it acknowledged that there was also a message to Iran that it should refrain from any provocation.
Jimani restrained Suleimani's successor
In the cyber field, Iran is actually increasing its activities.
According to the report, Suleimani's successor, led by Quds Force Ismail Kani, wanted to comment on Israel's attacks in Syria, but Khamenei limited him to a cyber attack only - the attempt to break into Israel's water infrastructure.
Even after the Netanz bombing, he asked for permission to react against Israel, but the supreme leader stopped it.
In addition, Microsoft revealed last week that Iranian hackers tried unsuccessfully to hack into the accounts of Trump's campaign and his rival Joe Biden.
The New York Times noted, however, that intelligence officials were unimpressed by the attack by Iranian hackers, in contrast to Iran's past actions.
In a further attempt to increase pressure on Iran, the Ministry of Justice last week declared indictments against Iranian hacker groups, although these were unrelated to the election intervention, and the State Department and Ministry of Finance imposed sanctions on hackers attacking regime opponents, journalists and other elements.
Iran is also using social media to attack the White House response to the corona plague and to highlight the social divide in the United States.
However, experts say that it does not match Russia's moves.
"Iran is doing much more than it has done in the past, but we should not exaggerate the threat," said Arian Tabatbai, an expert on the Alliance for the Defense of Democracy and author of a position paper on Iranian efforts.
"The biggest threat of intervention in the election is not Iran at the moment."
Angry at the assessments Russia is helping him with.
Trump (Photo: Reuters)
Although intelligence services have stated that Iran opposes Trump's victory, last month's statement by the intelligence community's office did not elaborate on Tehran's moves, unlike those of Russia.
"Iran has sophisticated cyber capabilities, but they cannot be compared to those of Russia," said Democratic Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff and one of the harshest critics of President Trump's Congress. "She has no experience or infrastructure to campaign. as it did Russia in 2016 or are currently doing. "
intelligence sources said that former white house is trying to emphasize the threat from Iran's interference in the elections in favor of Biden among other things, to please Trump, Mad estimates that Russia is working to help him.
in recent days, American officials Iran's threats against US diplomats, apparently out of Tehran's desire to complete its revenge on Suleimani's assassination. The person mentioned in the report as a potential target, both by the president himself, is South Africa's ambassador to Anna Marx. No decision has been made to directly attack a senior U.S. official, with past and present officials blaming the administration for inflating the threat, and Iran has denied the allegations, saying it is a propaganda campaign designed to increase tensions before the election.
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To the full article
Iran has refrained from imposing official responsibility on Israel.
The Natanz facility after the explosion (Photo: Reuters)
Iran is mainly trying to maintain the support of European countries, Russia and China against US unilateral measures against the nuclear deal, and to avoid anything that would jeopardize the end of the UN arms embargo next month. The powers said they oppose the return of all US sanctions on Iran. in view of the retirement of government Trump nuclear deal 2018. senior European official said that the conflict between Washington and its allies in Europe may spill over into other areas.
the tough stance of the government enjoys the support of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Israel - the two companies signed this week an agreement normalizing mediated Trump, This is partly due to the common fear of Iran, however, other countries in the Middle East, including Iraq and Qatar, fear a renewed escalation in light of the presence of American forces in their territories, both of which have close relations with both the United States and Iran.
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