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What future for Belarus?

2020-09-20T19:11:04.771Z


WIDE ANGLE - Tens of thousands of people continue to march through the streets of Minsk and major cities in Belarus, despite mounting repression. Despite the prevailing uncertainty, some hypotheses for the future can be sketched out.


Has a political transition started?

No, for the moment, nothing indicates a going beyond the status quo that we are witnessing in Belarus: on the one hand, demonstrations that continue, massively every Sunday, on the other a power, embodied by Alexander Lukashenko, which increased the repression, beheaded the opposition, without giving any sign of openness.

Lukashenko does not intend to give way.

His strategic goal has not changed: he wants to keep power until the end of his life and pass it on to his heir

(his son Kolia, 16 years old, Editor's note), ”said Andrei Souzdaltsev, professor at the Haute École de Moscow's economy.

According to this specialist in Belarus, his head of state is trying to gain time and is aiming for the rottenness of the dispute.

"He dragged things on, evokes a constitutional reform, without really proposing it", adds Mr. Souzdaltsev.

Russia, very embarrassed by this crisis which threatens to destabilize a buffer country with the West, officially supports

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Source: lefigaro

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