Guido Carelli Lynch
07/10/2020 - 18:13
Clarín.com
Politics
The calculation of deaths from covid-19 makes noise between the City and the Province days before a new stage of quarantine is defined and more activities are authorized in the metropolitan area of Buenos Aires (AMBA).
After the Province's announcement two weeks ago that added
3,523 deaths from covid-19
that had not been counted in the Integrated Health Information System (SISA),
Marcelo Durán
, a member of the committee that advises Governor
Axel Kicillof
, calculated that the City did not added
1,500 deaths
to the 3,921 that have already been reported.
Mathematician and director of the Institute of Calculation of the Faculty of Exact Sciences of the UBA, Durán, together with his colleague
Rodrigo Maidana
, of the University of La Plata,
suggested
that the increase in deaths reported by the City in recent weeks allows us to infer that This figure would imply a proportional increase in deaths in the Capital of almost 50 percent, higher than the 39 percent recorded by the Province (when it had 12,566) deaths.
“It is something that happens in all parts of the world.
The Province has already done the work that had to be done to keep up to date.
The City has not yet, it gives the feeling that it is now beginning to do it little by little so that it does not show much, ”Durán told El Uncover.
September 25th.
The Minister of Health of the Buenos Aires Province Daniel Gollan when presenting the new tool with which 3523 deaths from coronavirus were recategorized - Photo: Mauricio Nievas
In the City they acknowledged receipt.
Health Minister
Fernán Quirós
publicly acknowledged that there may be delays and even praised the Buenos Aires system to cross databases that "whitewashed" the deceased.
In private, they were much tougher on his team.
“It is a totally out of orbit data made by a
politicized group
that uses technical tools to estimate things that do not correspond.
It has nothing to do with what we think is happening.
It is one more political maneuver to
try to muddy the field
”, they fired before
Clarín's
query
.
They insist that, to avoid mismatches in the size of the Province, they added a team of 100 technicians to collaborate in loading data with the private system.
The relationship between the heads of the Health Portfolio of the largest urban conglomerate in the country is one of cooperation and, at the same time, of
mutual mistrust
.
"We do not have any estimate that appears to those numbers of such a barbarism that they are publishing," they complained to the Buenos Aires Ministry of Health.
Near Kicillof they did not take care of the words of the governor's advisers, but they supported their reasoning.
"This is what Quirós said these days without giving numbers, you have to see how the load comes in the last week," they maintained.
The Buenos Aires Minister of Health,
Daniel Gollan
, meanwhile, compared the situation in both jurisdictions.
“Nobody hides anything.
Having the death figures in real time is a historical problem throughout the world in a pandemic.
In the Province, we were able to solve it and surely CABA will also solve it.
The ignorance of the necro-opposers does a lot of damage, "he said.
Two days ago it had been less compounding and elliptical.
“The death toll in the City grew 90% after the Province modified its system,” he declared.
The Buenos Aires minister's collaborators trusted that both the City and Santa Fe - which today is one of the virus transmission epicenters - requested advice from the Province to implement the same data cross-linking system in their districts.
In the head of Government and in the Santa Fe government they rejected any type of management in that sense.
The director of Provincial Epidemiology,
Calorina Cudos
admitted that there may be differences, but stressed that they are not of the magnitude of Buenos Aires.
In the national health ministry they argued along the same lines, but avoided polemicizing.
“There are no big differences with the charges in other provinces.
We must not forget that the Province is equivalent to 3 and that it has 17 million inhabitants ”, they highlighted.
In the Province they insist that they are the only district that accurately counted deaths from covid-19.
How the quarantine continues
On Friday the Casa Rosada will define how the new stage of social and compulsory preventive isolation (ASPO) will continue throughout the country and in the metropolitan area of Buenos Aires.
Despite the fact that the peak has already dropped in the City and the Province, close to the governor Axel Kicillof they flatly rule out that the AMBA decrees social distancing (DISPO) instead of the ASPO.
Meanwhile, there are short circuits and open discussions about the
use of public transportation
and the burden of deaths from covid-19.
While the discussion about the return to face-to-face classes ends, the City is moving forward with the request to enable
shopping
protocols
,
constructions under 5,000 meters
, events and congresses by streaming, outdoor gyms and domestic service
to be enabled
.
This last point opens one of the sources of tension between the Buenos Aires and Buenos Aires administrations.
Aware that a good part of the domestic service that works in the City lives in the suburbs,
Horacio Rodríguez Larreta officials
demand that they be able to use restricted public transport from March 20 - on paper and with high compliance - to essential workers .
In the Province they do not see this possibility with good eyes, which will end up arbitrating the Nation.
The Province, for its part, will advance with protocols for outdoor and construction gyms.
This Thursday, Kicillof together with his team of advisers and mayors will finish defining their strategy.
Meanwhile, the governor, who remains preventatively isolated, and the head of government concentrate the institutional dialogue between both Province and City via WhatsApp.