Vienna election: Historic disaster for FPÖ, Strache's plans shattered - Corona ballot delivers record

The postal vote participation in the Vienna election on Sunday is already breaking records.

The SPÖ has been ahead so far - but the corona virus and postal voters make projections difficult.

• On Sunday,

  October 11th,

  the Viennese elect a new

  state parliament

  and 23

  district governments

  .

• The

  FPÖ

  falls back massively, the team around

  Heinz-Christian Strache

  must tremble for the move.

• The

  SPÖ

  is clearly ahead in surveys for the state parliament - a mandate simulation shows how it

  could get

  the

  "Absolute"

  .

Update from October 11, 8:23 p.m.:

The

solidifying: According

to current figures, the

comes to 42.1 percent and will be able to choose whether to continue the alliance with the third-placed Greens (14.1 percent) or in a coalition with the conservative ÖVP (18.8 percent) in second place.

She had ruled out a merger with the right-wing populist FPÖ in the election campaign.

The

had

lost a lot of popularity

after the so-called

- a whopping

mean an extrapolated result of 7.7 percent.

Strache himself fails because of the five percent hurdle.

According to an election survey by the Sora and Isa institutes on behalf of the

, the decisive factor was apparently the corona policy: 45 percent of the survey participants said they had

discussed

the issue of

lot before the election

.

Work and the economy were important for 32 percent of those surveyed.

Security and crime were only important for 21 percent.

The figures from the individual

meanwhile clearly show that the

has come to an end: In the Simmering and Floridsdorf districts, the right-wing populists emerged as the strongest force in the 2015 election - but here too the FPÖ has now crashed, as the

reports .

In

the "freedom" lost even 30 percentage points, in

more than 27. According

to current projections

, the

now

gained

47 percent in

both places

.

A bizarre side note is also provided by a satirical party: the

(abbreviation “beer”) comes to

2.0 percent

according to an

from 19:59 - more than half as much Strache's “Team HC” and on par with the left .

An

is not expected until Monday.

Vienna election: first extrapolation shows disaster for FPÖ, Strache's plans shattered

Update from October 11th, 6:35 p.m.:

In the meantime there is also a

from Vienna

: It gives the

- for which Sebastian Kurz 'Finance Minister

entered the mayor's race - another reason to cheer and confirms the

.

Above all, it hits the

and its renegade ex-boss

even harder than the first predictions.

For the latter, the dream of a renewed political career could already be a thing of the past.

According to the extrapolation, the FPÖ only comes to 7.5 percent.

That would mean a loss of 23.3 percent compared to the election in 2015.

Strache's alliance “THC” lands at 3.6 percent - and thus very far from the five percent threshold.

The

trading slightly lower than in the forecasts, but are still growing.

And a clear

: 41.7 percent are currently for the SPÖ, 14.6 percent for the Greens.

Even the liberal Neos could become a possible government partner for

party with 8.1 percent

.

Vienna election: First extrapolation: SPÖ clear winner with 41.7%, FPÖ falls to 7.5%, ÖVP with 18.7% in second place, Greens and NEOS gain, Greens achieve 14.6%, NEOS

8 ,1 %

- ORF Breaking News (@ORFBreakingNews) October 11, 2020

Forecasts for the Vienna election: FPÖ and Strache face disaster - Corona ballot delivers record

Update from October 11th, 5:56 p.m.:

A little earlier than usual in Germany, there are

first

in

: According to the first trends recorded by ORF, the Viennese ruling party

, the Chancellor party

and the

the big winners of the ballot box.

The

could increase

their result of the previous election by 2.4 percentage points to

.

The

wins even more drastically - but comes from a deep valley:

According to the information,

are possible, 8.3 percentage points more than in 2015. The

gain 3.2 points to

.

The liberal

increase by almost two percentage points to

.

On the other hand, the

is facing a real disaster

: The scandal-ridden

could lose an incredible 20.8 percentage points and only come to 10 percent.

And for the former FPÖ boss and Vice Chancellor

is a disgrace: With currently 4 percent, his

would

miss out on the local council.

Here, however, decisive fluctuations are still possible in the course of the election evening.

Strache had been cast in a bad light by further allegations in the past few weeks.

According to a report by

, the municipal council elections in Corona times set a new "record" - for postal votes.

Up to 40 percent of the votes could have been cast using a “voting card”, more than ever before.

Update of 11 October, 14:57:

Not only because of the unexpectedly large number of

could with first expert

have a choice in Vienna difficulties: Even the

plays a crucial role here, it makes but uncertainty regarding the expected

.

"Overall, the

not be a

because there will be many who stay at home," said

from the

.

Compared to the

, he further pointed out that voter turnout usually falls when a party has major mobilization difficulties.

could

mean the

and their - because of the "Ibiza" - and the donation affair - disappointed

.

In

, the

are currently

being elected.

The

still open

from 7 a.m. to 5 p.m.

As the

on

,

, who, according to surveys, was also the favorite for the office this time, started the polls with his wife on Sunday morning.

This makes

the only

who traditionally casts his vote directly at the polling station: “I'm used to it.

It's a nice, democratic act, ”said the mayor and called on all

to also vote.

Our mayor @BgmLudwig and his wife have already voted!

Be there and exercise your 📩 right to vote - so that our Vienna stays in the best of hands!

The polling stations close at 5 p.m.!

# ludwig2020

- SPÖ Vienna - The Vienna Party (@SP_Wien) October 11, 2020

Ludwig also

wanted to signal that you

can vote safely

despite the

, as the

has been explaining the

in the local polling stations

on

for weeks

.

The

spent a good ten minutes at the polling station.

A short waiting time results from the disinfection of the hands, the mask requirement, distance rules and identification behind a screen made of Plexiglas.

As the

further reports,

does not

believe

in a red absolute in the

, but of course he would like it.

As reported (update from 8:59 a.m.), there are

simulations that

no longer completely exclude this for arithmetic reasons.

Update from October 11th, 12.42 p.m.:

The projections for the

are apparently more

than usual. The ongoing

noticeable

here

as well, with

significantly more Viennese

voting

than in previous ones Elections.

A total of

applied for, more than ever before - in 2015 only around 200,000 voting cards were issued.

from the

, which

prepares

the projections for

on election day

, said that due to the large number of

voters on the evening of

a significantly larger number of votes than usual would not be counted.

This complicates the

: While in 2015 for 100 votes that were counted on Sunday, 22 voting cards were added to the counting on Monday, this year there will be

absentee

that will be added for every 100 ballot box votes, the expert told

.

In

, only slightly more than half of the votes cast are counted on Sunday.

Given the abundance of

, the election workers may not even be able

to present

an

on

.

Then this will only be determined on Tuesday.

YOU can vote too!

✅

If you did not manage to pick up your voting card from the post office in time, it will be waiting for you at the electoral department of the respective delivery district.

You can pick them up there until 5 p.m. and choose: https://t.co/fMVBkhbllh pic.twitter.com/ACv56u5NoL

- City of Vienna (@Stadt_Wien) October 11, 2020

The expected

of up to

could also cause difficulties in creating a

.

The

between the parties

would be too great

, said

from

to

.

"The greater the shift, the more difficult it is to extrapolate a result as precisely as possible," said Sommer.

In

any case

, when the

there will be no extrapolation - just a

based on an election day survey.

expects the first

on election day

after the voting results are available

will still show at least one percentage point of uncertainty.

Vienna election: who and what will be elected today?

- Forecasts, voter turnout and corona rules

Update from October 11th, 8:59 a.m.:

A

simulation of

for the

shows how the

could still

get

on

: The

became

less majority-

due to the red-green

.

If the

fail relatively close to the five percent hurdle, the

could still reach 46.5 percent for the

.

The simulation assumes a vote distribution of 46.5 percent for the SPÖ, 16 percent for the ÖVP, 12 percent for the Greens, 11.5 percent for the FPÖ, 4.5 percent for the Strache team and 2.5 percent for other parties.

If the

are distributed favorably in the assumed case, the

could secure 51 of the total of 100 municipal council

.

Should

party make it just over the five percent hurdle, the

would remain

well below 50 percent and thus without

.

Pollsters assume that the

gets

around 42 percent of the votes and thus

45 seats in the municipal council

according to the

.

If you believe the polls, the

would again come

into question

as coalition partners with 15 mandates

, but also the

, which could count on 19 clients.

Despite the reform, the

shows

that the “new” electoral law is still more majority-

: As

reports, the

the largest party with 42 percent

, would get

45 seats - while all other parties that passed the

manage to convert their votes one-to-one into mandates.

If, as the simulation assumes, 2.5 percent of parties do not make it into the

, the largest party by far will benefit.

Vienna: Election day begins - More than 1.1 million citizens are called to vote

Update from October 11th, 7:05 am:

With the opening of the polling stations, the

began

on Sunday

.

Due to the high number of

in the Austrian capital, special protective measures were taken in the polling stations.

The

also announced this on

.

More than 1.1 million citizens are called to cast their votes.

Vienna is both a city and a federal state.

You will certainly vote on Sunday - we have taken all the necessary precautions for this.

To make a choice you need:

- mouth and nose protection

-

your

own ballpoint pen

- proof of identity

Please keep the minimum distance of 1 meter and observe the general hygiene measures.

pic.twitter.com/hz94lvFkpw

- City of Vienna (@Stadt_Wien) October 10, 2020

According to surveys, the

social democratic

has the best chance of growing in its stronghold.

The opinion polls see the state SPÖ under the

valued for his factual nature,

at around 42 percent.

The city has been ruled by a red-green coalition since 2010.

The conservative

should also be among the winners

.

After a negative record in 2015 of just nine percent of the vote, the party can now expect approval to roughly double.

Five years ago, the

right-wing

was the second strongest force with almost 31 percent - according to polls, the party is now threatened with a drop to around ten percent.

Ex-FPÖ boss Heinz-Christian Strache comes up with his own list and has to tremble because of the five percent hurdle for entry into the state parliament.

Election day in Vienna - Coronavirus numbers rise to a record high

Update from October 10, 3:58 p.m.:

The anticipation of election day in the Austrian capital is overshadowed primarily by a worrying development: On Saturday, the number of

to a record of

.

According to the

, Vienna remains the

sad leader in the country

comparison with

.

The situation in the hospitals has not changed so far, but as the

reports, the number of "active cases" rose to 10,800.

Taking into account the number of inhabitants, both the number of

and the number of "active cases" are currently still well above the German values.

Nonetheless,

elect

a new

on

- and has already

set

a new

: More

than ever before will vote in 2020 by

.

As

reported by

, around

issued

by Thursday alone

.

The

still

until noon on Friday

.

In view of the drastic number of

, many citizens who are eligible to vote are likely to have taken advantage of this offer shortly before.

Vienna: results of the election announced no later than Tuesday

What may benefit the

in

, but could affect the patience of the citizens.

Because the large number of

- every fourth eligible voter should vote this time - could

significantly slow down

the process of

the votes.

Thus, the

still be very imprecise and the true

the election could even

remain open

until

, reports

.

In the worst case,

only then will

the

find

out the exact distribution of

, possible

variants and possible entries into the

.

Video: Record of voting cards in Vienna

A

also led

their last election campaign in Vienna entirely.

While the

and

brought it to an end on Friday, the

last election campaign

event took place on Saturday.

But if you believe not only the

on the election on

, but also other pollsters, the Austrian capital will probably

remain “red”

after October

and will therefore remain in the hands of

.

Yes, our @BgmLudwig is very good, especially in the direct selection!

BUT the choice is not made by pollsters!

The choice is made exclusively by the Viennese!

So let's all aggressively support our @BgmLudwig!

EVERY VOTE COUNTS!

🗳🌹 pic.twitter.com/RrvTWIQyDp

- SPÖ Vienna - The Vienna Party (@SP_Wien) October 9, 2020

Until May last year, the

for the

was anything but certain, as the

was constantly on the road to success.

The

changed the situation and the

- although the numbers in the city are still rising sharply to date -

also improved

prospects, but it reinforces the trend in favor of the incumbent.

But

has spent his own contribution he made it yet, the highly fractious

at

finish

to pacify.

Original article from October 9th:

Vienna -

, is big

- in the middle of a time when the number of corona infections is also

rising sharply

in

.

The citizens vote on a new

and several

in the Austrian capital.

What is important to know about the names: Since Vienna is both a state and a municipality, the municipal council is also the

.

Like the state parliaments in Germany, this is responsible for legislation and control of the government.

A total of

to the local council

on Sunday

for the next five years.

Around 1.1 million Viennese are called to vote.

Almost 1,500 polling stations are

open

Vienna election: What protective measures will there be against the coronavirus?

To protect voters who

want to vote

at the

, the city has taken some

.

Everyone has to wear a mask and voters are asked to bring their own ballpoint pen.

There are also so-called

, which contain surface and hand disinfectants, masks, face shields and paper towels.

Normally it would be planned that polling stations would also be set up in the homes of pensioners.

But to ensure the

, outsiders were distributed to other voting sites.

Due to increased security measures, some polling stations were reallocated.

You can find your current polling station online at: https://t.co/iusgowqhe6 # WienWahl2020 pic.twitter.com/2wjtbiz1KQ

- City of Vienna (@Stadt_Wien) October 9, 2020

Vienna election: Do the Viennese prefer to vote by post instead of in a pub?

The

is of course particularly important this year.

This is also reflected in the figures: on October 8th, around 375,000

, as the forms are called in Austria, were issued

to the Viennese

.

In terms of eligible voters, this is already

There have never been so many in Vienna before.

For comparison five years ago: Almost 204,000 voters applied for the voting card.

This high number of postal votes could also

delay

the

of votes.

A preliminary overall result of the polls is often available after three hours, i.e. around 8 p.m.

With all postal voters, the count should at least continue until Monday.

Vienna election: What are the current forecasts for the parties?

Six parties are currently represented in the state parliament.

According to surveys, this could stay that way.

The clear winner of the election is likely to be the

, which, with Michael Ludwig, is already the mayor.

With over 40 percent in surveys, they may even scratch the majority.

Behind is the

with around 20 percent.

After a very bad result in 2015, they are now hoping for

chancellor bonus

.

Behind them are the

, with polls sometimes at 13 percent, sometimes more at 16 percent, as in a survey by Market on behalf of the newspaper

at the beginning of October.

+

Michael Ludwig (SPÖ) wants to remain mayor of Vienna.

© Helmut Fohringer / APA / dpa

The

supports Surveys clearly down to only about ten percent instead of the previous 31 percent.

After the Ibiza affair about its then boss Heinz-Christian Strache, the party has to fight.

Strache himself hopes to move into the local council with his

, which, however, moves around the five percent hurdle in surveys.

The

land, according to market survey of six percent - its the same result as the 2015th

Austria (Vienna regional election), Research Affairs poll:

SPÖ-S & D: 42% (+2)

ÖVP-EPP: 19% (+10)

GRÜNE-G / EFA: 13% (+1)

FPÖ-ID: 11% ( -20)

NEOS-RE: 7% (+1)

HC- *: 5% (new)

+/- vs.

2015 election

Fieldwork: 3-5 October 2020

Sample size: 800 # wahl20

➤ https://t.co/XWpToewZ7C pic.twitter.com/zskrmRyZMa

- Europe Elects (@EuropeElects) October 8, 2020

The

approaches the election

satirically

- for the first time they were eligible for election in the 2019 National Council election.

At the top of their program are a beer fountain for Vienna and an aptitude test for politicians.

But also saving the

, which have a particularly difficult time in Corona times, is one of their more serious goals.

+

Heinz-Christian Strache hopes with his HC Strache team to join the municipal council in the 2020 Vienna election.

© Herbert Pfarrhofer / APA / dpa

What is elected besides the local council?

In addition to the municipal council, 23

elected.

A few more people are entitled to vote here, namely around 1.4 million, as EU citizens are also entitled to vote.

Depending on the number of inhabitants in the districts, 40 to 60 mandates are awarded.