Survey and alert: the quarantine maintains support in the GBA, but falls sharply in the City and the Interior

Eduardo Paladini

10/13/2020 11:35 AM

• Clarín.com

• Politics

Updated 10/13/2020 11:35 AM

It is a central series and, in parallel, three local series.

At the national level, the coronavirus quarantine has almost as much support as it has questions.

But when that thick line crumbles, the nuances appear: the agreement with the isolation

.

The data appears in the latest study by

, one of the consulting firms that has been following the evolution of public opinion since the pandemic began.

This is a national survey of

, with cuts by jurisdiction.

It was done between October 7 and 8, and the results were presented with a margin of error of +/- 2.5%.

Alberto Fernández when visiting a factory that produces chinstraps in May.

Support for the President fell.

At the beginning of the report,

ratifies a noticeable change in trend: for the first time since the arrival of the Covid, the

of "what Alberto Fernández is doing in relation to the coronavirus"

: 47 to 43, which gives a negative balance of 4 points.

In the

, the President

: 84% in favor and just 9% against, 75 points of positive gap.

Even with a fall, until the first week of August that balance was still green, around 30 points.

But, as other studies showed, September was black for the ruling party in terms of social humor.

And the figure of Alberto Fernández paid for it.

Quarantine in general: even

"The Government extended the

 in the Metropolitan area of ​​Bs As and other cities and also extended the stage of social distancing in the rest of the country.

" consultant.

It is a question that has been repeated since the imposition of Compulsory and Preventive Social Isolation (ASPO), on March 20,

.

Poliarquía Consultores Survey, in the first week of October.

Level of agreement with the quarantine at the national level.

With some oscillations, the general trend was always downward.

: 60% said they "strongly agree" and 29% "strongly agree" with the quarantine.

That ceiling meant that, despite the sustained decline,

.

In the first week of October, 48% were between "quite agree" (19) and "strongly agree" (29), against 45% who ranged between "little agree" (26) and "not at all agreement "(19).

Quarantine in the City: rejection

More changing was the support and rejection of

.

It started with a strong endorsement (74% between "very" and "quite agree") at the beginning of April, and a deep questioning was started at the beginning of this month (65% between "little" and "not at all agreement").

Poliarquía Consultores Survey, in the first week of October.

Level of agreement with the quarantine at City level.

Here a brief analysis is worth.

Despite the fact that the isolation is implemented by the local governments, Horacio Rodríguez Larreta improved his image among the porteños during these months.

As if a sector of society valued the usually opening speech of the head of Government and punished the restrictions that the Nation ended up imposing.

The clearest and most controversial example, perhaps,

.

For several weeks now, the City had been proposing face-to-face classes, albeit limited, but only now has it obtained authorization from the national ministry.

There were also crosses by the

and the openings of bars with chairs on the sidewalks.

Quarantine in the GBA: support

In the Conurbano, the view regarding isolation was

.

With losses in terms of support, but not as pronounced as in the City.

By the beginning of April, the level of agreement reached 82% (53 "very" and 29 "quite").

In the first week of October,

, but for less: 55% between "very" and "quite agree" against 34% of "little" and "not at all agree."

Poliarquía Consultores Survey, in the first week of October.

Level of agreement with the quarantine at the Conurban level.

They are

.

Rejection only grew 5 points and support remained the same.

These data from the GBA, and also those from CABA and the interior, show the impact of the crack in the gaze on the quarantine.

In other words, where there is

.

This map was also reflected in the protest on Monday, the "Banderazo 12O", where one of the slogans that was heard the most was precisely the questioning of isolation.

The massive and loud marches took place especially in urban centers, such as the City, Córdoba and Mendoza.

Quarantine in the Interior and fear of contagion

Regarding the view on the

, with dissimilar realities according to the provinces, it started from a very high support (85% between "very" and "quite agree") but, after a strong fall, now there is an

: 45% to 45%. 

Poliarquía Consultores Survey, in the first week of October.

Level of agreement with the quarantine at the Interior level of the country.

The

survey also

asked: "Do you think that

and restriction measures should be tougher, they should be made more flexible or do they have to remain unchanged?"

Since the end of August, the trends are quite stable.

In the last measurement,

, 31% to "tighten" and 15% to "continue without changes" (they completed 8% of "ns / nc").

Similar numbers to previous weeks.

And here it is also worth stopping in an analysis.

Although the rejection of quarantine increases steadily,

.

Why?

Because while more people question the ASPO as a central and extensive health measure,

.

According to data from the consultancy, 50% believe that they have a "high" or "very high" probability of contracting the virus.

At the end of July, they barely passed 30%.