Surprises in a survey in the Province: Cristina Kirchner rises, Alberto Fernández falls, but Horacio Rodríguez Larreta leads

Eduardo Paladini

10/14/2020 10:33 AM

• Clarín.com

• Politics

Updated 10/14/2020 10:33 AM

The election of Horacio Rodríguez Larreta as a political enemy, promoted by Cristina Kirchner and La Cámpora, was based on present data and a medium-term projection.

On the one hand, the head of government, a macrista and Buenos Aires, began to measure well, very well, in the electorate of the Frente de Todos;

on the other, and in parallel, this strengthened him as an eventual

 2023.

anticipated the germ of the fight, at the end of July.

Two and a half months later, the variables that gave rise to it are still latent.

A

in the province of Buenos Aires, the stronghold of Kirchnerism, shows surprises: the former president improved, Alberto Fernández fell, but the leader is Larreta.

The survey that put updated numbers on the bid is from

, a consulting firm that worked at some point with Sergio Massa and now measures basically for municipal administrations.

It published a Buenos Aires survey of

, surveyed between October 6 and 8, and with a margin of error of +/- 3.5%.

A central chapter of the work refers to the images of the

of the Frente de Todos y Juntos por el Cambio: in addition to Cristina, Alberto F. and Larrea, former President Mauricio Macri, Governor Axel Kicillof and his predecessor María Eugenia Vidal. 

v 1.5

Image ranking in Province

Based on a Buenos Aires survey of 800 cases.

October 2020

Tap to explore the data

Source:

Infographic:

The report starts with the ruling trio.

1) Alberto Fernández:

- It combines

(35 "very good" and 22 "good") with 42% negative (12 "bad" and 30 "very bad").

- He continues to be the leader of the Frente de Todos best valued in the Province and is

.

- But, according to

, he had "

in his positive image compared to September."

- Fernández's strengths are "among people with a

(69%), among

(67%) and in the

electoral

(65%)".

2) Cristina Kirchner:

- It combines

(33 "very good" and 20 "good") with 46% negative (7 "bad" and 39 "very bad").

It is

.

- In favor, compared to September,

4 positive points and reduced the negative 3 points.

- Against, she continues to be one of the leaders with the harshest

: 39% with a "very bad" image.

3) Axel Kicillof: 

- Combines

(27 "very good" and 24 "good") with 46% negative (12 "bad" and 34 "very bad").

He is

.

- Compared to September, it had a

: the positive dropped 5 points and the negative increased 3 points.

- The governor's strength continues to be among the

.

Then comes the opposing trio.

With a particularity: on the one hand, it surprises to have

from Buenos Aires

;

but on the other,

and 

close the table.

1) Horacio Rodríguez Larreta:

​

- It combines

(36 "very good" and 29 "good") with 32% negative (13 "bad" and 19 "very bad").

At a general level, with respect to the previous month, the positive dropped 2 points and the negative increased 1.

- But, according to the report, "between September and October the 'very good' assessment went from 22 to 36, which indicates that Larreta 

."

- "65% of the people who have a positive image of Larreta, have a

."

- "60% of those who have a

as Alberto F., Cristina or Kicillof, have a

."

2) María Eugenia Vidal:

- Combines

(24 "very good" and 25 "good") with 49% negative (17 "bad" and 32 "very bad").

- It was the one that increased the most compared to September, when it had 43% in favor and 57% against.

- The former governor is one of the figures where

: some give it above and others below.

3) Mauricio Macri:

- Combines

(9 "very good" and 18 "good") with 71% negative (14 "bad" and 57 "very bad").

- He is, by far, the

, with a very high hard rejection (57% of "very bad" image).

- The

is found "among those who live in the

electoral

(81%) and among

(84%)".

Electoral numbers, in favor of the Front of All

Despite this striking leadership of Larreta in the Province, when

asked about the 2021 elections, the

.

“If the elections for Deputies and Senators for the Province of Buenos Aires were today,

”, Raised the consultant.

And he put as

that competed in the last presidential one.

They were like this:

v 1.5

Voting intention survey in Province

Based on a Buenos Aires survey of 800 cases.

October 2020

Tap to explore the data

Source:

Infographic:

1) In Front of All: 51%.

2) Together for Change: 28%.

3) Front Awakening: 4%.

4) Federal Consensus: 3%.

5) Left Front: 2%.

6) Front NOS: 1%.

White: 2%.

Don't know: 9%.

The Frente de Todos, even,

on Together for Change compared to September: it went from 17 points the previous month (49% to 32%) to 23 in October (51% to 28%).

In part, the report highlights, it is due to the

:

- "86% of those who voted for the FdT in 2019 would do so again in 2021."

Against "70% of those who voted for JxC in 2019 would do so again in 2021."