The number of corona cases is increasing across Europe.
Germany also recorded a significant increase.
But how will developments continue?
A virologist becomes clear.
The
corona
numbers are rising in Europe.
A
second wave *
is already causing further lockdowns and stricter measures in Europe.
The
virologist Sandra Ciesek
now emphasizes the importance of the behavior of the individual in the population.
Berlin - The
number of corona infections
has been rising across Europe for weeks
.
Belgium reports 8,500 new cases per day (in comparison: Germany was 6,868 on Tuesday), Ireland imposed a
second lockdown
and the Netherlands had to temporarily close emergency rooms.
But
what's next in Germany
?
Currently (as of October 20) the numbers are
6,868 new infections per day
.
It is assumed, however, that developments in Germany are delayed.
So are we heading towards exceptional situations like in Ireland or the Netherlands?
Corona development: "Nobody will die in Germany because they cannot get a ventilation bed"
In the
NDR podcast "Coronavirus Update",
the
virologist Sandra Ciesek
, who takes turns with Christian Drosten on a weekly basis, and the
intensive care
doctor Stefan Kluge
spoke
about
developments
in Germany.
The situation currently appears to be stable.
Both the intensive care physician and the virologist would not have expected the second increase so early.
It was expected in November or December.
But the
situation in the hospitals was "moderate in terms of the numbers,"
said Kluge.
Six percent of the corona positives * would currently have to be admitted as an inpatient.
The rate was still 20 percent in the spring.
Two percent of those infected required intensive treatment (rate in spring: five percent).
"But if we have a penetration into older age groups again, as it does in neighboring European countries, then of course it becomes a problem," said the intensive care doctor with regard to the increased risk of older patients becoming seriously ill.
But:
"Nobody in Germany will die because they cannot get a ventilation bed,"
continued Kluge.
However, the number of 10,000 infections per day should still be a limit that is not exceeded.
Corona development in Germany: virologist warns - "We are part of this pandemic"
Virologist Sandra Ciesek
saw it
similarly
.
The health authorities could currently work well.
According to a recently published study that the medical professional mentions,
contact tracking accounts for
50 percent of the fight against the spread of the coronavirus *.
"As long as the health authorities are not overloaded, it should be possible to prevent an increase such as that in neighboring countries," emphasized Ciesek.
As soon as the health authorities are overloaded, the number of unreported infections increases.
Exponential growth would be the result.
Recently, however, there were worrying figures from the offices, as
Merkur.de
* reported, citing the
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
.
The other 50 percent consist of the
behavior of the individual people
and the number of contacts they have.
Whether we are facing an increase as in neighboring countries is "clearly dependent" on our own behavior.
"So
every single one is really in demand,
" said the virologist.
Contact restrictions would still have to be clearly observed.
“
We are part of this pandemic
.
Without us, the virus is nothing, it needs us. ”
(Chd) * Merkur.de is part of the Ippen-Digital editorial network
List of rubric lists: © Luca Bruno / dpa / AP