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Coronavirus: why the second wave does not look like the first

2020-10-23T15:13:15.116Z


SEEN FROM ELSEWHERE - The comparison is not that simple. Is the current situation in Belgium really different from that of last March?


By Xavier Counasse and Martine Dubuisson,

Le Soir

This is the “reassurance” argument: we are still far from the level of the first wave.

So: no stress.

This comparison is a little light: in March, hospitals had ceased all other activity, which they hoped would never have to be relived.

But let us dare to draw a parallel, to measure the extent of the current crisis.

There are 486 covid patients in intensive care today, up from 1,285 at the peak of wave one.

We would therefore only be a large third of the peak reached on April 8.

Factually, this is correct.

But to stop there is to ignore the principle of an epidemic (and its exponential growth).

Because it is not the gross figure that must be looked at, but the speed at which it is increasing.

Because it will be too late to act if we wait to see the first peak to worry.

Read also: Covid-19: how pseudo-medicines and bad science have benefited from the crisis

The figures of the first wave illustrate this wonderfully.

Remember, on March 17, the Council

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Source: lefigaro

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