2020 US election polls: all the latest numbers and graphs

According to current forecasts, Joe Biden is the favorite in the US election, but Donald Trump is far from out of the running.

What the current numbers say and which values ​​are really meaningful.

• In the

  USA

  , the next

  presidential election

  will be held on November 3, 2020.

• Current polls see

  Biden

  ahead, but

  Trump also

  has good chances.

• The

  swing states

  could ultimately decide the outcome of the election.

• Constantly updated

  live data and graphics

  on the polls - now and until election night.

Washington - The US will elect its 46th President on November 3rd.

It has long been the main choice for the country.

For the

, the incumbent President

*

is

running

for a second term, for the

it is

. * He was Vice President from 2009 to 2017 under former President Barack Obama.

Here you will find the latest data and graphics every day until the US election - and all live results on election evening.

Surveys for the US: Clear numbers, but the choice is far from being decided

At the beginning of the year, Democrat

ahead of his opponent

in the

*

He has been able to constantly expand his lead since May, but had to accept losses again in the last evaluations.

According to current surveys, Biden would receive significantly more electors than his opponent Trump, but whether there will be enough to win the election does not show the current trends.

But in many states there are still no clear tendencies to be seen in general, while these will make up more than half of the electors necessary for victory.

And that's exactly why the election could ultimately be decided in these states.

Because of the complex electoral system in the USA, such

only partially representative.

Because the president is not elected directly by the citizens, but by

.

However, the voters decide on its composition.

America generally has

, which means that the winning party in a state wins all of its electors.

How many such delegates a state has at its disposal depends mainly on its population size.

The Electoral College * consists of a total of 538 electors;

a candidate has to unite 270 of them behind him to win the election.

The data shown in the graphics are not based on individual surveys, but on a large number of data sets from the respective states.

These are aggregated, processed and made available by 270toWin.

In doing so, attention is paid to the distribution of the electors to the respective states in order to ensure greater informative value.

On election night, we will continue the graphic and then integrate the final election results.

Presidential election: which states could decide the election

California

, as the most populous state, has 55 voters, followed by

(38),

and

(29 each).

Despite its status as the largest state in terms of area, Alaska is only allowed to provide three electors due to its small population.

In addition to the 50 states, Washington DC has three electors as the seat of government.

This exception is governed by the 23rd Amendment to the United States Constitution.

In some states of the USA, the people there are traditionally tied to one of the two parties.

The

there are also

relevant

this year

.

For example,

can

count on victories in California and New York, while

count on wins in

the Republican states of Tennesse (11), Alabama and Kentucky (9 each).

The

*

probably be decided in the end, however, in the contested, populous states.

The outcome of the election is still open there or there is only a slight tendency in favor of one of the two parties.

These states are known as

and together make up more than half of the electors necessary for victory.

The most important of these swing states will include

,

,

(20) and

(18).

US election 2020: the most important information in a nutshell

The

elects its

every four years and a candidate can rule for a maximum of two terms.

In addition to the President, the

, the

and a third of the

re-elected

on November 3rd

, with the election of President not being made by the electors until 41 days later.

The winner will finally

in on

and will then move into the

on that day

.

So when will the US election results be? * First numbers are expected on November 4th at around 1 a.m. German time.

Who ultimately won shouldn't be clear until five in the morning, German time.

Transparency: Our data, sources and methods

The US election data presented goes beyond a single source such as a US television station.

Rather, the 270towin portal condenses numerous data records and weights them.

Nevertheless, the values ​​naturally cannot be compared with a projection.

The interactive voting elements come from the German Press Agency, which permanently updates the data and which are then automatically integrated into the article.