weekly
Author: Shi Zhongjian
2020-11-25 13:09
Last update date: 2020-11-25 13:09
The establishment has always given the impression to some people that they are the echoes of the government, lacking independent opinions and independent thinking.
In the past year, Hong Kong has been criticized the most, except for the government. It is the establishment.
They are accused of being off the ground and incompetent, causing trouble if nothing happens, and being afraid of trouble, leading to deviations in the central government's policy towards Hong Kong.
Although this statement is not entirely general, it is undeniable that the establishment is in urgent need of reform.
Hong Kong deserves a better establishment
What's wrong with Hong Kong's governance?
Reflect on the reasons for the failure of the anti-revision movement and defend "one country, two systems" with constructive thinking
To politicians-please reflect on the failure of "Hong Kong people ruling Hong Kong"!
Sitting on the well and watching the sky cannot protect Hong Kong’s system
From the perspective of elections, district council elections have changed. I believe it is needless to say.
The pan-democratic faction won nearly 90% of the seats, occupying the majority of seats in most regions, and widening the 64-year-old ratio of the establishment.
The honeymoon period that originally appeared in the early and mid-term of Lam Cheng's tenure was in vain in the bloody storm last year.
For many years, the establishment, which has a strong ability to operate elections and regional mobilization, has lost the guarantee of the government and the political system as a whole, and can only rely on the existing stakes and the experienced "Lianpo" (the veteran of Zhao in the Warring States Period) To contend against the localized pan-people with a strong online offensive, the result was a "steady loss" in 17 of the 18 districts.
The pan-democracy legislators resigned collectively. Can the parliament calm down since then?
(Profile picture/Photo by Zhang Haowei)
Under the double attack of the new crown pneumonia epidemic and the political storm, the people have complained about the government, and they have moved further and further from the establishment in terms of identity construction, political identity, and ideology.
The rational opponents who originally believed in the system were either sunk by the radical populist dissidents or eliminated by the system. The mild establishment and pan-people that had originally kept the longing for the system, in the atmosphere of a clear enemy and ourselves, have expressed their views.
In the establishment of the system, many individuals have the ability and obligation to win the support of free votes, but under the general situation of the global situation and the intensification of dry-port contradictions, they can only become victims.
The postponement of elections can certainly ensure that the government's administration in the coming year will be largely unimpeded, but it will not help resolve public grievances, quell dissent, promote social harmony and reconciliation.
The ugly woman must finally meet her family. If the establishment can solve existing problems and turn crises into opportunities, they may still be able to get Hong Kong back on the road.
If you continue to hide your ears and steal your bells, you will have to continue to be beaten, and continue to be used to "vent your anger", becoming a knock-out between citizens who do not trust the system and the central government who is busy preparing for the overall plan for the Greater Bay Area in the Mainland.
If the establishment wants reforms, what can they do?
Where are they going out?
(Profile picture / Photo by Luo Junhao)
Deception will eventually be eliminated
First, talk about elections.
Hong Kong still uses a representative democratic election system.
From the perspective of regional direct elections, this mechanism is actually "very democratic" in actual operation: election fraud is largely unique so far, and voters who intend to vote can vote smoothly. The recent overseas voting discussion has been caused by public opinion backlash and Discussions within the establishment were put on hold.
"Snake Zhai Cake Rice" is certainly a specialty of some directly-elected members, but there are people on both sides of the establishment and the pan-democracy who practice this kind of "fat distribution politics"; secondly, this kind of politics does not damage the foundation of democracy; It’s not surprising that there are similar situations in the world.
But because of this, the establishment’s perception of votes has always been limited to the "iron votes" determined by fixed demographic characteristics, the "sweeping votes" earned by regional work and resource allocation, and some people on a single issue. The “single-vote” with strong opinions on the above (such as same-sex marriage, minority rights, minimum working hours).
The problem is that the traditional votes of the establishment, as young voters become politically active, are accompanied by "yellowing" driven by factors such as social media or values, the degree of support that the establishment has lost among professionals and middle-class people in recent years, and Its over-emphasis on some vested interests (including real estate developers) and other performances show rigidity and shrinkage.
On the contrary, the so-called "opposition" is better able to control and respond to popular emotions, create systematic discourse and packaging to maintain their political career; secondly, they can use electronic and social media freely to create a strong identity In the third place, the discussion has always been more able to infect the swing voters in the middle, so that it is more appealing.
These factors have caused the establishment before last year to present an electoral crisis.
The good performance of the establishment in several by-elections has certainly encouraged them, but the cooling down of voting intentions for a while does not mean that the silent voters are ideologically approaching the establishment. Last year, the anti-amendment turmoil became the fuse. Detonated explosives of popular sentiment in ambush on all sides.
If next year’s election goes smoothly, I believe that the establishment must work hard to win back the voters who are in the bone of the establishment, but hate the establishment, in order to maintain the basic six-four split. As for the "fifth-five split", there is no need to think too much.
Hong Kong's electoral system has its inevitability, and under normal circumstances it can eliminate the weak and retain the strong.
(Information Picture/Photographed by Lu Yiming)
Second, talk about exposition.
Where did the mainstream pan-people lose?
The defeat was precisely the turbulent style of "worrying prestige and wearing a helmet."
Looking further, their problem actually lies in the inconsistency of their discussion—on the one hand, they want to uphold the "rule of law," but they touch the bottom line from time to time; on the other hand, they want to engage in "speculation," and they have to receive more than ten per month. Ten thousand yuan salary.
The agency is too clever, what do they want to do?
No one wants to know, but everyone knows.
As for the more radical parliamentarians among the pan-democrats, most of them are "inherited" the romantic imagination of the originator and leading figures of the local faction. To promote some "discourses" that are obviously infeasible and impossible, but can successfully win most young people. Love.
why?
Because their discussion is full of "positive" adjectives-talking about vision, talking about the future, talking about "our Hong Kong."
What about the establishment?
Don't say that the establishment should unite the front, because it is difficult to fall in love on the one hand, and hilltopism is rampant on the other hand. There are many parties that have not even sorted out their internal contradictions, so disasters are approaching.
The general remarks of the Panminists are an opportunity for the establishment. If the establishment wants reforms, what can they do? Where are they going out? For details, please read the full text of the "Hong Kong 01" weekly electronic journal.
Shi Zhongjian
A group of post-90s who have hope for the future of Hong Kong
Believe that Hong Kong must fundamentally improve its governance
In order to maintain its unique position in global politics and the rise of China, and to put "One Country, Two Systems" back on track
The above is excerpted from the 241st issue of "Hong Kong 01" Weekly (November 23, 2020) "Thinking about the future of the establishment after the resignation of the General People's Republic of China?" ". If you want to read the full text, please
click here to
sample the weekly newsletter and browse more in-depth reports.
Selected content of the 241 issue of "Hong Kong 01" Weekly News:
[Cover Report] How to save Hong Kong's shipping logistics from "Port One" to "Sunset Industry"?
Interview with Lin Chen, a financial scholar at the University of Hong Kong, how does Hong Kong develop inclusive finance?
Backed by network advantages, online and offline interactive gaming industry emerges under the epidemic
[The Chief Executive, please find the number] What about going with the people?
Please return to true Connect from "Tear 2.0"
RCEP holds a group for warmth around China's economic "matrix" is forming
When will the RCEP become the end of Taiwan’s economic and trade “cooking frog effect”
[Technology.
In the future] R&D and safety are difficult to determine the pros and cons of "emergency use of vaccines"
01 Weekly Formational Pan-Democratic Legislative Council
