Iran will take revenge - but will not try to drag the region into war Israel today

The government is already justifying the delay in responding to the assassination of nuclear scientist Mohsin Fahrizda with "strategic patience" in the face of right-wing pressure on the regime, but it will be forced to respond so as not to show weakness.

Muhsin Fahrizada from the Abadi is gone.

According to the heads of the Islamic Republic, the Zionists eliminated him, and this time the Zionists do not even really deny it.

Revenge, we are assured, will be appropriate, and at the appropriate time and place. 

The funeral of Iranian nuclear program chief Muhsin Fahrizda yesterday

At the moment it is not clear what the appropriate time and place are and what an appropriate response is.

The Islamic Republic authorities are pursuing "strategic patience" in their response to the "heinous assassination" (which so far news within Iran about how it is carried out changes every few hours).

The phrase "strategic patience" is part of the copywriting of the heads of the Islamic Republic, designed to maintain their dignity in front of the people and in their own eyes, when asked "Why are you not responding ?!"

The adjective "strategic" implies to right-wing pressure activists (yes, there are some!) That it is just a waiting period and it will end, and that there is thought and plan behind the wait, and to change advocates and opponents of the left, ask them to think if the regime does not punish Pharisees Going back almost a year), they too can come out of action against the regime.

I believe they really do not want to drag the area into war, but will have to take some revenge action to maintain their dignity. 

We have seen similar copywriting in the past, for example during the nuclear talks, when the pressure on the regime on the right and the excessive joy and expectation of openness on the left gave rise to the phrase "heroic flexibility" whenever the Islamic Republic had to make concessions to the West. 

And what is the reaction of the people?

The first reactions we saw on the networks and in the streets were reactions of anger and calls for revenge, a little sad that we lost three diamonds this year (the first two were Suleimani and Abu Mahdi al-Mahraki the Iraqi), along with statements that we are actually happy and not mourning.

During the demonstrations we heard cries such as "No compromise, no surrender - battle with America", and "Inspectors of the International Atomic Energy Agency will be expelled".

The first reading is something the regime prefers to avoid, but the second reading resonates even at the top of the regime now. 

On the other hand, we find the ladder brand "Pachari Omelet", of opponents of the regime and haters of all its emissaries and senior officials.

Tweets like "Congratulations, clean work, go on like this", and quite a few mention that Fakhrizada, Suleimani and the like are not Iranian heroes, Iranian heroes are the same young people who sacrificed their lives in anti-regime demonstrations. 

It is difficult to predict what will be seen in the coming days.

One can try to equate the latest assassination to the assassination that opened the year - the Suleimani assassination.

The rage demonstrations on the networks and in the streets at the time were certainly greater, probably because Suleimani was a prominent symbol during his lifetime, and Fahrizda was described as a "man of mystery." 

Strategic patience can actually be helpful to keep the rage out.

The reaction to Suleimani's assassination was a little too hasty.

And to me if things had been taken slowly and better directed they would have shot down an American military plane rather than a plane full of innocent passengers, most of whom were Iranian civilians - which caused, as we remember - unprecedented rage demonstrations against the regime.

What will happen this time?

I have no idea, but once that happens I can explain why and how and why it was expected. 

Dr. Tamar Eilam Gindin is an expert on Iran, a researcher at the Ezri Center and the owner of the podcast "Enriched Iranium"