The statements issued by US officials and the Israeli enemy, especially the military ones, are characterized by a kind of aggressive display of all countries in the region, not just those that stand against their dangerous plans.
These pressures and threats are not limited to the military side and vary between carrots, intimidation and intimidation, according to what serves American-Israeli interests in general and not others, based on the official Arab reality that is divided horizontally and vertically.
The statement of the enemy army's spokesman, Heday Zilberman, for the Saudi website, Elaph, is consistent with the above-mentioned description, as he expanded his range of threats to include Iran, Iraq, Yemen, Syria and Lebanon, which, according to his claim, is expected to be targeted from its territory, which means that the entire eastern Mediterranean region is subject to combustion in any military adventure. Israeli-American, where the geographical distribution of the countries exposed to aggression is distributed on this basis.
The voices of military war tools, urgent meeting news, and plans placed on the tables of decision-makers, led by the losing US President Donald Trump, are above everything, and this does not mean that they reflect the reality of the outbreak of war or not.
Suddenly and without introductions, the threat of the epidemic virus "Corona" withdrew from the summit of global concern despite the announcement of new strains of the virus that are more dangerous to human life, and the most prominent indication of this is the refusal of the US President to sign a law presented by Congress worth $ 2.3 trillion in aid to those affected by the Corona virus, in return for a meeting. For senior national security officials at the White House to discuss "options for deterring attacks on American interests."
Some analysts and researchers liken the movement within the Trump administration to the situation experienced by its counterpart during the era of former US President George W. Bush during the events of September 11th, with a difference in the nature of events, as the United States was exposed this month to the most dangerous and widespread cyber-penetration of the American administrative, technological and financial leadership and control institutions considered by many to More dangerous than the destruction of the Twin Towers.
The only fundamental difference between the two aforementioned events is the international reality, where the division prevails within Washington's allies in ancient Europe and the lack of interest or enthusiasm for any of them to be involved in a war with it, in addition to developments in the level of competition and power between the major countries at the global level. The Russian and Chinese situation today is not the same. In the year 2000, Washington’s calculations did not ignore such data, especially in a region witnessing intense competition in the priority interests with China and Russia.
Based on this analysis, the United States and Israel will be alone in any war they start in the region, at least in the first stage, and the question that is being discussed a lot these days is which of them starts the process of igniting it first?
An analysis of what was leaked about the "deterrence options" that were made by senior US national security officials and were placed on Trump's table, which was described as "prepared to be non-escalatory" according to "Reuters" agency, leads to two possibilities: The first is that this campaign comes within the framework of prior and warning warnings. Iran has the consequences of targeting American interests on the anniversary of the assassination of General Qassem Soleimani, and the second goes beyond that, for Washington, in cooperation with Israel, to launch a limited aggression aimed at mixing the cards at the American domestic level or creating new conditions on the Iranian file level that prevent the Eden administration from returning to the agreement.
There is no doubt that time is running out for Trump in terms of his adherence to winning the elections and changing the existing reality in the judiciary, and any escalatory move at the level of national security will be closely linked with the state of cohesion within his administration, which has begun to crack somewhat with the leakage of information about hidden coordination between the Pentagon and Biden's team about the response to What option does President Trump make?
Regional and international fears of a new war in the region are in place, at least in the first week of 2021, and military moves are increasing, all of which is related to the extent to which this war will achieve the Trump administration's calculations by staying in the White House or not.