Madrid lose in the final stretch

The First Division teams face eleven final exams after several months of study and what will be a month of training. There is still a lot to solve and, in fact, the top of the ranking is on fire. Not only is the title of champion debated, with the slight advantage of Barcelona (58) over Real Madrid (56). Also the European positions, with a fierce battle between Seville (47), Real Sociedad (46), Getafe (46) and Atlético de Madrid (45) . Somewhat more off the hook, although with many options to make the jump, Valencia (42) or Villarreal arrive(38). Eleven days ahead and little margin for error. At the moment of truth, the templates have to deal with strong pressure. 

Looking back, AS has made a report on the performance of the six heads of the classification in the last eleven days of the last decade . Thus, adding his current score to his performance in the final appointments of the past campaigns, conclusions can be drawn about who steps forward, who steps back and how the current season will end if the behaviors analyzed are repeated. Although the final performance depends on many factors such as the rivals, the qualifying situation or the coexistence of various competitions, a decade serves as a reference to see who reigns when the pressure is on.

Barça subdue Madrid

Real Madrid will have to step forward to win the current championship. With 56 points, he is two from Barcelona. However, the story does not speak positively of the end of the season of Zidane's , at least compared to his eternal rival. Of the last ten campaigns, the Whites have only surpassed the Blaugrana twice, taking into account only the results of the last eleven days. It was in the 2015-16 season (33 points vs. 22) and in 2010-11 (25 vs. 22). Curiously, in neither of them did he end up lifting the trophy. Of course, Madrid would sign the results of both campaigns, since with them he would be champion.

Beyond the two cases exposed, in the other eight seasons that make up the decade, Barcelona have been better in the final dates than Real Madrid . Most of the time the particular you to you was solved for a couple of points. However, Barça have come off well, conquering seven of the last ten domestic tournaments. Madrid, meanwhile, only emerged victorious in the 2011-12 season, with Mourinho's record, and in 2016-17, with the stellar performance by Zidane's bench. 

So, if the statistics were repeated, Barcelona would win LaLiga Santander again . The average supports this: those of Quique Setién average 26.3 points in the final sprint of the decade compared to 25.5 of those of Zidane. Both would retain their current position, something that Madrid does not fight for. T lso come into play the 'goal average': after 0-0 of the Camp Nou, the second table rapped on the table at the Bernabeu with goals from Vinicius and Mariano. In the event of a tie on points, the crown will remain in the capital. 

A decade and the final arreón of Madrid and Barça **

* The points of the last eleven days are collected.

** In bold the seasons in which Madrid would emerge as champion repeating results this year.

History endorses Atlético

It is not being a simple season for Atlético de Madrid. What's more, on some occasions there has been talk of a " transition year ", due to the loss of important players and the youth of the call to be the flagship in the coming years: Joao Félix. Even so, the victory against Liverpool was a moral injection and the classification for the Champions League is still at hand. Although the rojiblancos occupy the sixth position, they are only two points behind Sevilla, third .

What's more, with data from previous years in hand, Atlético alone would not qualify for the Champions League in a season of the last ten . It would be precisely in 2009-10, when he was only able to sign 13 points in the final stretch. The rest of the years would reverse his current situation and return to play the maximum continental competition. In fact, in five of them it would even manage to close in third position .

Unlike its rivals, the red and white decade has been more regular, even with the 2013-14 league title . In addition, another factor that plays in its favor is the separation of European leagues for European competitions. There will be no alternation due to the coronavirus crisis , which means that you can fully focus on the domestic championship without losing oxygen trying to conquer Europe. The same thing happens to Sevilla and Getafe, survivors of the Europa League.

Atlético, better than their rivals in the final stretch

* Getafe, Real Sociedad and Sevilla, assuming that Real Madrid and Barcelona will not lose Champions.

** Tied on points with Sevilla.

*** In bold for being the only year in which he would not play the Champions League if he repeats score this season.

**** Real Sociedad played in the Second Division.

Sevilla start with an advantage

Not only for his third position, Sevilla is the top contender to return to the Champions League next season . The team trained by Lopetegui signed an average of 17 points in the last eleven days of the last decade, a figure better than Real Sociedad and Getafe towards their goal. What's more, he would only lose the place in three of the last ten campaigns (2017-18, 2015-16 and 2012-13), an outstanding fact for the low point advantage he currently has.

La Real and Getafe will have a difficult time. Not by sensations, but by the two giants they face, plus the arreón from behind Valencia or Villarreal . Alguacil's men would only maintain their current Champions League position in two years: 2015-16 and 2012-13. For their part, those from Bordalás, after falling 'in extremis' last season, will try again. Seeing past results, the 'Geta' would make the jump to the Champions League in 2009-10 and in 2017-18. Eleven days, 110 games and few prizes. They will be for the elect .

The 'Top 6', at the end of LaLiga

Europeans in the last eleven days *

* Getafe and Real Sociedad are accounted for their nine seasons in the First Division and not in the Second.