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GroKo compromise: pension insurance warns against problems with basic pension

2019-11-13T17:23:16.233Z


The Grand Coalition is celebrating the compromise on the basic pension. However, the German pension insurance expects considerable problems - and sees also shortcomings in the financing.



The German pension insurance sees considerable problems in the implementation of the planned basic pension. President Gundula Roßbach called several critical points.

Rossbach sees difficulties in the following topics:

  • the planned data exchange between pension insurance and tax authorities
  • the determination of the provided 35 years with contributions and
  • the planned start time of the basic pension.

"With millions of pensions running, which should be considered, the relatively short period to 1 January 2021 is problematic for the development and deployment of a fully automated solution from the point of view of pension insurance," said Roßbach.

The coalition seeks to reward long-term low-income earners with 35 years of contributions from employment, education or care. Before, the income of sufferers and partners should be examined.

Problems when examining the income

Even the determination of who of the 21 million pensioners has the necessary contribution years , "is anything but trivial," said Rossbach. Possibly not all of them have the necessary data - for example, people who were already pensioners in the GDR.

"Above all, however, the planned examination of the incomes of the recipients of a basic pension and possibly also of their partners will pose problems", said Roßbach.

In order to receive the full pension supplement, the monthly income for single living should not exceed 1250, for couples over 1950 Euro. Roßbach explained that there was no link between the pension accounts of partners .

Rossbach sees possible additional needs of a thousand places

Thus, probably a transmission of data on marital status by the registration authorities to the pension insurance needed. Otherwise threaten a "massive expansion of the processing".

According to Roßbach, the central question is: "Which data can be processed and when?" Above all, an electronic transmission of all necessary data on the amount of income by the tax authorities to the pension insurance is necessary.

"If the electronic data interchange with the financial administration can not be realized in the ambitious timetable, we assume an additional need of several thousand additional places with the pension insurance."

Details on the basic pension

Basic pension compromise of GroKoA little respect

Roßbach also pointed out that the tax offices can only provide information on taxable income with a delay of two years .

In the annual 1.6 million new pensioners, however, the income changes with entry into the pension - and is expected to be overestimated in the proposed test. Open is also the handling of pensioners without tax return .

At the same time, the pension insurance stated that it was working hard on the implementation. "We are ready to do anything to make the law work," said Alternate CEO Annelie Buntenbach.

Doubts about the timely implementation of the financial transaction tax

CEO Alexander Gunkel urged the coalition to hold on to the planned financing of tax revenue . He expressed "by experience" doubt that this is so. He pointed out that the coalition wants to spend the majority of the estimated costs up to 1.5 billion euros for the basic pension through the not yet existing financial transaction tax .

This taxation of certain financial transactions should come within the European framework. "So far, there is no consensus on this at European level, so there are doubts that the financial transaction tax will come in time," said Gunkel.

more on the subject

GroKo compromiseWho will profit from the basic pension - and who will not

At the same time, the pension insurance affirmed that pensioners can hope for significantly higher salaries in the coming year. According to current planning figures, pensions in the west are expected to increase by around three percent on July 1, 2020, and in eastern Germany by another 0.7 to 0.8 points, Gunkel said.

The increase could also be smaller in view of economic uncertainties. Final clarity will only be available in the spring. On Monday, a draft for the Annuity Insurance Report 2019 had become known, after the pensions on July 1, 2020 in the West by 3.15 percent and in East Germany should rise by 3.92 percent.

How does the Civey method work?

The opinion research institute Civey works with a multi-level fully automated procedure. All representative real-time surveys are played in a Germany-wide network of more than 20,000 websites ("Riversampling"), so it is not only users of SPIEGEL ONLINE interviewed. Anyone can participate in the surveys online and will be included in the representative result with their answers if they have registered. From these users, Civey draws a quoted sample that ensures that it matches the population, for example, in terms of age, gender and population density. Finally, in a third step, the results are weighted by other attendees' socio-demographic factors and attitudes to correct distortions and prevent manipulation. More information can be found in the Civey FAQ.

Why is a registration necessary?

The registration helps to weigh the answers, thus allowing a result for the surveys, which is representative of the voting population in Germany. Each participant is asked for their gender, year of birth and place of residence. After that everyone can give their opinion in further surveys on different topics.

How do the results become representative?

The answer of each participant is weighted so that the result of a survey is representative of the population. For the Sunday question and the government monitor, this population comprises the population entitled to vote in Germany. The weighting is done fully automatically on the basis of the personal details at the registration as well as the history of earlier answers of a user. More methodological details can be found in the Civey whitepaper.

Will you reach enough participants online?

Opinion polls are usually conducted by phone or online. The significance of the results depends on how many people can be reached and how many actually participate in a survey when they are approached. Internet connections and landline connections are currently about equally widespread in Germany - with about 90 percent of households, mobile phones even 95 percent. The willingness to participate in all methods in the single-digit percentage range, especially experts estimate it for telephone surveys.
Thus, in both methods there is a group of people that can not be reached because they either have no connection to the respective network or do not want to participate in the survey. Therefore, a significant number of people must always be approached for a meaningful result. Civey surveys are currently in addition to SPIEGEL ONLINE in more than 20,000 other websites involved, including various media. This ensures that as many populations as possible can be reached.

How do I recognize the quality of a result?

Until the result of a survey becomes representative, enough different people have to participate. Whether this is already successful, makes Civey transparent, in that for each survey result a statistical error probability is specified. The number of participants and the interview time are also published for each survey.

What does it mean when the colored areas in the graphics overlap?

In our graphs, the statistical error is shown as a colored interval. This interval shows the uncertainty associated with a poll score. For example, on the Sunday question, one can not say exactly how many percent a party would get in a poll, but specify an interval where the outcome is likely to be. If the intervals of two survey values ​​overlap, then strictly speaking no statements about the difference can be made. For the Sunday question this means: If the poll numbers of two parties are so close together that overlap their error intervals, it can not be derived from which would currently perform better in the election.

What happens with my data?

The personal data of the users are stored encrypted on German servers and remain secret. Civey employees use only user IDs for reporting and can not associate users with their votes. The main purpose of the users' personal information is to weigh the answers and to ensure that the surveys are not manipulated. To prevent this, Civey uses both statistical and technical methods. In addition, Civey works with external partners who create audiences. Only when users have accepted the privacy policy of both Civey and an external partner, may your responses be used by the Partner to model those audiences. However, a partner does not receive information about your political and religious attitudes as well as those with which you can be identified. Civey users are also not ads based on their answers. You may object to the distribution to partners at any time here as a logged in user. More information about privacy at Civey can be found here.

Who is behind Civey surveys?

At this point, readers in the app and on the mobile / stationary website have the opportunity to participate in a representative Civey survey. Civey is an online opinion research institute based in Berlin. To compile its representative surveys, the software of the company, founded in 2015, merges websites into a nationwide survey network. In addition to SPIEGEL ONLINE include, among other things, the "Tagesspiegel", "World", "Wirtschaftswoche" and "Rheinische Post". Civey was funded by the ProFit funding program of Investitionsbank Berlin and the European Regional Development Fund.

Source: spiegel

All business articles on 2019-11-13

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