A swallow does not make spring, as the proverb says. But this small ray, in a particularly busy sky with the prospect of 800,000 job destruction by the end of the year according to Bruno Lemaire… should be noted. After the brutal halt in mid-March, hiring intentions returned to their pre-containment level in June. This is revealed by the data analyzed by the Big Data solution from Randstad France which we publish exclusively, and whose scope relates to the offers of more than 11,000 recruitment sites.
In the week from June 29 to July 3 alone, 148,295 job offers were posted, compared to 150,872 in the first week of March. After a vertiginous collapse (-53%), between February 28 and March 20, 2020, the job market has therefore recovered a few colors with the deconfinement. Over the last three weeks of May, the number of offers increased by 75%. "It's encouraging, despite the bad news that leaves a risk for the start of the school year and prevents us from any triumphalism," relativizes Frank Ribuot, president of the interim group and recruitment specialist.
In any case, the month of June marks the beginning of a return to "normal" in the hiring intentions. This trend is certainly fragile, as it is still on hand compared to June 2019. The job vacancies market is still down 25% compared to a year ago. Two explanatory factors are put forward: the uncertainty of business leaders who, for some, prefer to wait to see more clearly before deciding to recruit. On the other, a decline in the sectors traditionally under stress during this period, the result of the strong impact of the crisis.
September will be decisive
Some indicators point to encouraging signs in the short term, such as the stability of the number of job offers offered throughout the month. "We see this as proof that the recovery is well underway and that companies are starting to hire again to help them out of the crisis," continues Franck Riboud while remaining cautious. For him, only the month of September will set the tone for the end of the year and will confirm or deny the right direction.
Today, business leaders are looking to make up for lost time and need help to support the increase in their Covid-19 post-crisis activity. According to Randstad, some employers put parentheses on hold during confinement and restarted them. Many also could not anticipate the hiring of reinforcements in April or May for the summer period and postponed it to the month of June.
The other note of hope contained in the study is found in the ranking of the most sought-after professions in June. The maintenance technicians, who stayed at the top of the most coveted profiles during the crisis, come out on top among the most sought after. But also the commercial and truck drivers who had disappeared from the ranking, "a sign that companies are setting out to conquer market share and that supply chains are reactivating". Real estate agents and negotiators are also very popular in an upward market.
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IT developers, whose hires had been largely frozen during the crisis, occupy the eighth place among the most sought-after profiles and the first market in Île France, a region where the restart has been slower. Probably because it concentrates a lot of headquarters, but especially because the fear of catching the Covid-19 seems to have been particularly strong, especially with public transport.
