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The fight for IFE 4: Alberto Fernández decides between interns and claims

2020-10-07T00:26:55.671Z


The Government analyzes if it implements another payment to the total of the register that the three previous IFEs received, if it directs it to fewer beneficiaries, or if it hastens the transition to other programs.


Pablo Ibáñez

06/10/2020 - 20:11

  • Clarín.com

  • Economy

Against the

clock

,

under triple fire

, Alberto Fernández will define in these hours if the Government will pay an IFE 4 or accelerate the transition towards subsidized employment programs and schemes.

In official chess, the

fiscal turnstile

on which Martín Guzmán warns and the alerts about the social situation exposed by ANSeS and Social Development

cross

.

Another important player appears:

the governors

, who, without distinction,

asked that the program continue.

The decision is, at this time, on the President's table.

Santiago Cafiero

, the Chief of Cabinet, pivoted between Guzmán, the head of ANSES,

Fernanda Raverta

, and the Minister of Social Development,

Daniel Arroyo

, the triad that provides views and criteria on the IFE and its future.

Cafiero has, among his tasks, managing tensions before they reach Fernández and he usually moves in tune with Guzmán, although he balances and listens to the request of the provinces.

An argument is repeated among the governors: that the pandemic migrated to the interior, it hits hard in the provinces where there are restrictions, which

makes the IFE 4 more necessary.

There is a close precedent: in the initial format, the IFE 3 was only going to be paid in provinces with ASPO - that is, "quarantine" - and not in those that were better in terms of COVID-19 circulation.

Fernández listened to the requests and accepted that it be a general payment.

"Now we are more tight on resources," they

say in Casa Rosada and also warn that it is very difficult to segment the payment.

"Many beneficiaries of the IFE returned to work, self-employed, but it is complex to know who is and who is not, except for those who bill," a source explained to

Clarín

.

There is one factor no less: after the first registration of the IFE;

subsequent payments were made automatic and now, an eventual IFE 4 would go again for everyone unless there is a re-registration to receive the emergency bonus.

"That would serve to clear and reduce the number because many sectors returned to a certain normality," explained an official source.

Even so, an intermediate variable is not ruled out:

that there is an IFE 4 that does not reach the same beneficiaries as IFE 3

.

Another possibility is that there are bonds in the AUH but not with the register of almost 9 million beneficiaries of the IFE.

A data appears.

Arroyo told a meeting of ministers that

during September there was a decrease in the attendance of adults in the dining rooms

, which, he translates, reflects that

the informal economy

of changas

began to

move

, the segment hardest hit by the quarantine and the stoppage of activity . 

A monitoring of 500 dining rooms showed a decrease in the number of attendees, although, the Government clarifies, that "does not imply that the need of these families is resolved." 


It is a multiple roulette because from ANSeS and from the provinces they propose that

"one more IFE" be paid to go through the peak of the pandemic in the interior and, in addition, "close the year

.

"

Cafiero is, in part, in favor of that position, but he balances with Guzmán's tax proposal.

The indication that Fernández drops is simple: he maintains that

the IFE armed itself to go through the crisis

that triggered the coronavirus but ensures that 

it will not become "another social plan"

, as they translate to the President.

There, other possibilities open up.

Social Development has several programs in place, one of them called Boost, which aims to convert assistance programs into employment.

That menu is in the options that Fernández shuffles.

In parallel, from ANSeS they warn that the IFE allowed to detect a universe of people without contributions, formal work or social programs, and that they did not appear on the radar of economic and social statistics.

ANSeS managed to set up a more detailed information device on those sectors that, they say, will allow working with specific programs.

The proposal is to move forward with

a subsidized employment plan that targets, above all, young people between 18 and 24 years old.

They estimate that there is an initial universe of between 2.5 and 3 million potential beneficiaries of this program, which would include a training stage and then a job, public or private, with partial wage subsidies.

In addition, the Power, Progress and some programs that operate from the Ministry of Labor led by Claudio Moroni could be strengthened.

It could be a kind of ATP, they say in the Government, and they mention in that line what happened with that plan that is guaranteed until December.

Starting October 8, 1.3 million private sector employees who are part of the 124,000 companies' campuses will be paid.

Pending the President's decision, an administrative deadline has expired: this Thursday begins the payment of the AUH, a process that in the three previous IFEs was used to pay the 10,000 peso bonus at the same time.

This cannot happen due to a complex dynamic: the payment of the IFE takes two months because it

reaches 8.9 million people

distributed on a calendar of between 250 and 300 thousand per day, requiring 40 business days.

Source: clarin

All business articles on 2020-10-07

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