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One million unemployed: bleak prospects for employment in Ile-de-France with the Covid crisis

2020-11-02T05:05:39.412Z


Ile-de-France had 750,000 unemployed in September, or 100,000 more than in December 2019. Unheard of in statistics, despite


" I have never seen that.

".

Jean-Louis Marsac, mayor (various left) of Villiers-le-Bel (Val-d'Oise), still has a hard time believing it.

For months now, he has received spontaneous applications from residents for a job at the town hall.

"They turn to us in the hope of finding something," says the elected official.

In this town of nearly 30,000 inhabitants, with an unemployment rate of over 20%, the health crisis and its economic consequences are leaving concrete traces.

"We have 200 more unemployed between March and August," said the mayor.

Ile-de-France is hit hard by job losses due to the health crisis: unemployment climbs 14% in one year, against 9.5% nationally.

Not to mention partial unemployment or job seekers who are no longer compensated.

A situation that will get even worse with the reconfinement.

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"The region suffers a lot because the sectors where it is traditionally strong are precisely those which suffer the biggest shock", explains an analyst from the Chamber of Commerce and Industry: aeronautics, hotel and catering, tourism and to a lesser extent l 'automobile.

Result, the latest figures are catastrophic: according to the Ministry of Labor (Dares), Ile-de-France had 750,000 unemployed in September, 100,000 more than in December 2019. Never seen.

And again, this is the only category A of Pôle emploi, that of people who have not worked at all.

"My fear is to reach a million unemployed at the end of the year", worried, even before the reconfinement, Valérie Pécresse, president (Free!) Of the regional council of Ile-de- France.

A figure already exceeded if we combine the so-called A, B and C categories of Pôle emploi (without activity or with reduced activity and required to look for a job).

Trade unions overwhelmed, youth "sacrificed"

The trade unions observe the deterioration of the situation every day.

In Yvelines, the departmental branch of the CGT, estimates that the health crisis will have destroyed “20,000 jobs”.

"The Covid is either a trigger, in the fields of hotels and restaurants for example, or an accelerator in the aeronautics and the automotive industry", notes Nicolas Chamot, of the CGT 78. The trade unionist thus quotes the plan savings of two billion euros from Renault, which provides for the restructuring of six factories and the elimination of 4,600 jobs in France, "with an impact on the Flins site of 2,500 employees, where automobile production must be stop by 2024 ”.

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On the other side of Ile-de-France, in Essonne, the effects of the health crisis are also being felt.

“We have rarely seen such a threat to employment in such a short period of time.

We are not surprised for Nokia (

831 positions deleted out of the 2,895 positions in Nozay, editor's note

), but we are for other companies like CGG - specialist in underground exploration for oil companies -, where there is concern over 80 to 100 jobs, ”blows Olivier Champetier from CGT91.

Management has not announced a social plan, but specifies in our columns that their “customers

(mostly oil companies, Editor's note)

have reduced their exploration spending by 25 to 30% this year.

"

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Every Wednesday, during union hotlines, more and more employees "worried about their future" are knocking on the door.

“These are employees in the process of being laid off or on contractual termination, who want to know how to manage their file,” explains Olivier Champetier.

A week ago, we received 14 people, compared to 4 to 5 usually.

We are overwhelmed.

"

"We are in the eye of the storm," says Valérie Pécresse, to explain in a colorful way that the worst is ahead of us.

“Since March, 57,000 jobs have been threatened by social plans at Safran, Valeo, ADP, Airbus, Sanofi… There is also a risk of bankruptcy for 30% of cafes, hotels, restaurants, it is a real shock.

"The president also speaks of" generation sacrificed Covid "by evoking" the non-creation of jobs for young people because, in particular, of apprenticeship at a standstill ".

France was aiming for 500,000 apprenticeship contracts in 2020.

Roissy and Orly at half mast, an economic crash for aviation

For Paris Aéroports, traffic is down 74.5% compared to September 2019. And the International Air Transport Association does not expect a return to normal before… 2024!

“This violent halt has strong consequences on the activity of the first employment platform in Ile-de-France and an entire sector, providers of airports, shops, cafes and restaurants, aircraft manufacturers and their subcontractors. … ”Deciphers the Crocis (study center of the Chamber of Commerce).

Job cuts are already mentioned.

Orly airport, June 26, 2020. Almost at a standstill during confinement, Orly airport has gradually reopened but should suffer from this new confinement, as well as all the shops and hotels around.

LP / Arnaud Journois  

The collective contractual termination agreement project, launched by the management of the airport group, provides for up to 1,400 voluntary departures out of a total workforce of 6,500 employees (in Paris), of which 700 would not be replaced.

“Charles-de-Gaulle airport, it is 91,000 jobs in normal times and more than 700 companies”, explains a manager of ADP who insists especially on the whole of an economic sector which is affected: “The airlines of course, but also ground handling agents, freight, logistics, hotels, etc.

"

"With the Covid, I could no longer find a mission at all"

There are also the "invisible", in particular the temporary workers.

Among them, Ali *, 29 years old.

For nearly three years, he chained "without problem" missions as a security officer at Roissy airport.

But it's over.

“With the Covid, I could no longer find a mission at all.

Faced with difficulties to "pay [his] rent, the bills", he resolved to leave the Paris region and change his professional path.

Declarations prior to hiring, all durations combined, are in free fall: only 73,000 this year, or 25,000 fewer assignments than in 2019, according to CDG Alliance.

But "to be able to bounce back when the crisis is over, we must maintain a certain number of skills and above all not to reduce staff too much," insists Marc Deman, deputy director at the Paris CDG Alliance.

Tourism: "The activity has collapsed"

This sector represents around 500,000 jobs in Ile-de-France, according to the Regional Tourism Committee.

“The activity collapsed and was shut down for the first time since World War II,” the organization warns.

Result, a loss of more than 6 billion euros in the first quarter alone.

Nearly 14 million tourists are missing.

The summer season "calamitous" according to Pécresse, "catastrophic even" according to Franck Delvau president of Umih (Union of trades and industries of the hotel industry) did not make it possible to raise the bar.

Around Roissy for example, "half of the hotels are closed, and those that remain open have an occupancy rate that fluctuates between 10 and 20%", warns Jean-François Benon, director of the Economic Expansion Committee of the Val d'Oise.

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“Sports” tourism was also absent: the electric F1 Grand Prix, the Paris marathon, the European athletics championships have all been canceled.

Just for these events, the tourism committee estimates that it is 600,000 visitors and 250 and 350 million euros less financial benefits in the first quarter.

The bill is even higher for business tourism (conventions, exhibitions, etc.).

On October 1, the Ile-de-France CCI counted 432 congresses and 238 canceled exhibitions!

“The entire ecosystem is affected: caterers, reception and security professions, florists, etc.

And the year 2021 promises to be just as perilous.

The CCI warns: "Despite government aid, many business failures are to be feared as of this fall and for several months in this sector."

Cafés, restaurants and hotels strongly impacted

These are the professions most affected in a sector which represents 220,000 jobs in Ile-de-France.

“There have not yet been massive layoffs or business closures in series with the shock absorber of partial unemployment, loans guaranteed by the state or aid from the region.

But bankruptcies will occur in the coming months because it will be necessary to pay the rents and repay the loans, worries the president of the Umih.

Many establishments which have not worked or which have suffered a sharp drop in turnover will not be able to reimburse.

In the hotel industry, for example, there are still a lot of freelancers, family hotels that do not belong to a large group and that will not spend the winter.

The big ones forgotten by the crisis are the extras, those we call the intermittents of the restoration.

They work in cafes and restaurants but also a lot for trade fairs or major events which continue to be canceled one after another.

"

However, aid is not lacking: "the State-Region solidarity fund of 1.6 billion euros has helped 358,000 companies, 4,600 companies have benefited from rebound loans, the resilience fund which releases repayable advances to zero rate is extended by six months… ”recalls Valérie Pécresse.

Partial unemployment was also used at full capacity: "In August, 43% of national claims for compensation for partial unemployment came from the Ile-de-France region" calculated the Ministry of Labor.

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"In the short term, all this aid has helped to save jobs, but it cannot last forever," assures an analyst from the Chamber of Commerce.

Clearly, this gives a trompe-l'œil situation that is extremely worrying.

Already, charities are seeing an influx of new poor people from Covid and the departments are alarmed by an explosion of requests for RSA.

"Hope is a quick vaccine, probably in the spring," concluded Valérie Pécresse.

It will then be necessary to be ready to restart quickly and it is being prepared today.

"

Source: leparis

All business articles on 2020-11-02

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