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Euro diver: reached 3.48, the lowest rate in 20 years - Walla! Of money

2021-11-17T10:21:07.863Z


Israelis who will soon be flying to red Europe due to the fourth wave of the corona will be able to enjoy the difference. Not so with exporters: 22% of Israeli exports are to European countries


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Euro diver: reached 3.48, the lowest rate in 20 years

The European currency dipped this morning by 0.8% and traded at a rate of NIS 3.48 to the euro.

Israelis who will soon be flying to red Europe due to the fourth wave of the corona will be able to enjoy the difference.

Not so with exporters: 22% of Israeli exports are to European countries

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  • Euro

  • Europe

  • Export

  • euro

  • Import

Sonia Gorodisky

Wednesday, 17 November 2021, 11:59 Updated: 12:17

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If so far the low dollar has been in the headlines, this morning the spotlight is on the euro.

This morning, the EU currency fell by about 0.8% and is now trading at the lowest level in 20 years - NIS 3.48.

In the last month, the euro has weakened against the shekel by more than 7.5%.



One of the reasons that affects exchange rates is the expectation of investors regarding the level of future interest rates - higher interest rates or the expectation that it will soon rise encourages investors to buy currency.

While the Governor of the Bank of Israel, Professor Amir Yaron, recently signaled that the first interest rate hike in Israel is expected to be in the third quarter of 2022, in the EU there is talk of hikes only in 2023 or 2024.



In addition, the shekel continues to maintain its strength, mainly due to the correlation with world stock markets.

The Israeli currency traded stable this morning against the dollar around the level of NIS 3.09.

Since the beginning of the year, the Israeli currency has registered the sharpest strengthening against the dollar among the world's leading currencies.

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Euro at 20-Year Low: Vacationers Happy, Manufacturers Cry (Photo: ShutterStock)

Good for travelers, bad for exporters

The low euro exchange rate against the shekel makes Israelis' trips to Europe more affordable, when buying currency, booking hotels, cars for rent, shopping on European sites and more.



However, it should be taken into account that inflation in the EU is higher than in Israel due to the energy and raw material crisis, which has not been significantly felt in Israel so far.

To illustrate, in the last 12 months the consumer price index in Israel has risen by 2.3%, while in Europe by 4.1%.

So some products in Europe have risen in price at a higher rate in Israel and will be more expensive than in Israel despite the low euro.



Compared to ordinary citizens who benefit from the weakening of the euro, the situation of Israeli exporters working with European countries is becoming less good.

Exports to Europe is the second largest after the United States and accounts for approximately 22% of total exports. However, we can say that the collapse of the European currency trend has been continuing for many years is a trend that started yesterday, so they had an adjustment period low currency environment.



The volume of imports from Europe is the highest of total imports and accounts for about 27%. It was expected that the prices of imported products in Israel will fall as a result of the weakening of the euro against the shekel, but so far this has not happened due to several main reasons: Have risen at a higher rate than in Israel, and transport prices have soared.

Modi Shafrir, Chief Economist of Mizrahi Tefahot (Photo: Yachz)

The reasons for the sharp decline in the euro exchange rate

Modi Shafrir, the chief economist of Mizrahi Tefahot, explained in a conversation with Walla!

Money: "The euro / shekel exchange rate drops today to a low of the last 20 years (3.49) against the background of the combination of the sharp strengthening of the shekel against the currency basket - due to the 'basic forces' supporting strong shekels in the long run, massive foreign exchange sales by institutional entities In Israel against the background of rising stock indices around the world, and the Bank of Israel's announcement that it will complete its $ 30 billion foreign exchange purchase program in 2021, as well as against the specific weakening of the euro against the world dollar. The



weakening of the euro against the dollar "It will start raising interest rates in 2021, while the European Central Bank declares again that raising interest rates is not on the horizon."

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Source: walla

All business articles on 2021-11-17

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