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Inflation: Import prices are rising faster than they have been since the 1974 oil crisis

2021-12-23T11:31:36.141Z


Imports into the Federal Republic are again becoming more expensive - this applies above all to energy. Consumers are likely to feel this soon.


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Power lines: Imported energy was 160 percent more expensive than a year ago

Photo: stock & people / IMAGO

The rise in prices in Germany has accelerated further.

In November, import prices rose by 24.7 percent compared to the same month last year, as the Federal Statistical Office announced on Thursday in Wiesbaden.

That is the highest rate since October 1974, during the first oil price crisis.

At that time, import prices had risen by 21.7 percent.

Compared to the previous month, import prices also rose sharply by 3.0 percent in November.

After all, the trend is downward, because the October value was 3.8 percent.

The rise in prices is still particularly evident in the case of imported energy, which was 160 percent more expensive than a year ago.

Natural gas was almost four times as expensive as a year earlier.

The import prices for oil and mineral products roughly doubled.

Electric power saw the highest price surge with an increase of 360 percent.

Corona pandemic as the cause

The price increases are based on tensions in the global trade in goods, which can mainly be traced back to the corona pandemic.

Experts point to disrupted supply chains and the significant increase in energy prices.

Meanwhile, the industry continues to complain about severe material shortages. The problem worsened again in December. Around 82 percent of the companies surveyed by the Ifo Institute complained of bottlenecks and problems in the procurement of primary products and raw materials - more than ever before. In November it was 74 percent. It is a paradox, says Ifo survey leader Klaus Wohlrabe: “The order books are full. The lack of material does not allow the companies to ramp up their production accordingly. "

The increase in import prices is likely to have an impact on consumer prices sooner or later.

For this year, the Bundesbank expects an inflation rate of 3.2 percent in Germany, based on the harmonized consumer price index on which the European Central Bank (ECB) bases its monetary policy in the euro area, according to its latest forecasts.

In the coming year, the rate should increase to an average of 3.6 percent.

The European Central Bank is aiming for an inflation rate of two percent for the entire currency area in the medium term.

The ECB recently announced a hesitant exit from its bond purchases to support the economy.

A key rate hike is not yet in sight.

mik / dpa

Source: spiegel

All business articles on 2021-12-23

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