Not the tank will win, but the defense system.
An important lesson for the defense industry
The small defeats suffered by the Russians on the land of Ukraine, which were certain that it would be easily conquered, are already being studied all over the world.
The security system in Israel will also be required to recalculate a route, otherwise it will be surprised like in the Yom Kippur War.
Along with all these, this is a rare opportunity for our defense industries
Thursday, August 18, 2022, 11:34 am Updated: Friday, August 19, 2022, 08:28 am
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A Russian tank near Kyiv, Ukraine.
The resounding failure of the Russians against the new anti-tank missiles will already be learned around the world (Photo: Reuters)
Armored men, some of the best Israeli fighters, were seriously surprised, killed and wounded, by the appearance of the Russian anti-tank missile, "Sagar" with a hollow head, (Maliotka in its Russian name. Guided simply by wire and periscope tracking), in the Yom Kippur War.
The missile made names in the Israeli armor.
The Israeli army was not ready to face "Maliotka", even though it was used early in the Vietnam War against the Americans.
It was an Israeli intelligence failure, perhaps arrogance, that resulted in many losses of Israeli armored soldiers.
All the armies in all the armor schools in the world study the Israeli failure from 49 years ago.
The Southern Front in the Yom Kippur War, 15.10.73.
An Israeli tank is on its way to succeeding the canal.
The surprise from the Soviet Sagar missiles was almost complete (photo: IDF Archives and the Defense System, photographers in the camp)
Without the development of a "wind jacket", an active protection system for tanks and armored personnel carriers, an active protection system (aps) (to me this is like a magic act), it is doubtful whether there would be any point in bringing the advanced Chariot tanks to the battlefield today.
A windbreaker sounds like science fiction, but the system, made by Rafael with the help of Elta, detects in seconds, ahead of time, using sensors, an anti-tank missile and its trajectory in 360 degrees around the tank (according to Rafael), and destroys it before it reaches the target.
Rafael, the only one in the world with Such an active system has already sold "windbreakers" to the Americans. A windbreaker is an expensive product, hundreds of thousands of dollars per unit. And the hope is that it also protects against missiles such as the American Javelin missiles or suicide drones made by the Turkish STM, among the best today in the arena
Another Israeli failure in the "October War" (according to the Egyptian name) was the belief that Israel was invincible after the glory of the Six Day War, the "conception" and complacency determined this, even though the enemy's ranks were thickened with hundreds of thousands of soldiers on the Egyptian and Syrian fronts, "on a scale we never knew before "Thousands of tanks and cannon nests, an attack formation, Soviet planes evacuated the advisers from Egypt via the Aeroflot airline," it was determined by Eli Zaira, head of the Amman, that "the likelihood that the Egyptians intend to resume fighting is low." Since then Israel has been trying to restore the trauma of the failed intelligence.
The Russians invaded Ukraine half a year ago, on February 24 of this year with a massive armored force of thousands of tanks and promised that the capital city of Kyiv would be conquered quickly with the power of Russian steel that seemed endless.
They built on essays as if it were a throwback to World War II.
The doctrine of the world's armies holds that breaking into enemy territory must be accompanied by tanks that destroy and destroy troops, buildings, warehouses, defense forces and essential public buildings.
There are currently about 70,000 tanks all over the world.
But in practice the Russian army suffered a defeat with 25,000-20,000 dead - according to American or British intelligence estimates - a quarter of them Russian mercenaries. Although the Russian army still holds large areas in eastern Ukraine and in the south, near the Black Sea, the morale of the army is low because 60,000 Russian soldiers were wounded.
For comparison, in the entire war in Afghanistan, the Russians lost 2,448 soldiers and another 20,000 wounded.
There are different estimates between the Americans and the Ukrainians and others regarding the destruction of Russian military equipment in the war that has been going on for six months.
Between 1,000-1,700 Russian tanks were destroyed, according to the Americans' low estimate (the Ukrainians are exaggerating).
At least a quarter of the Russian tank position was destroyed, abandoned or captured.
3,905 troop carriers (according to the Ukrainians) were destroyed, as well as between 856-350 artillery pieces (the lower number is the American estimate). According to Pravda, "Emat", the Ukrainian newspaper of July 20 of this year, citing a source in the General Staff of Ukraine, 38,750 were killed Russian soldiers, 250 rocket launch batteries, 113 air defense systems, 221 planes, 188 helicopters, 703 UAVs, 167 cruise missiles and another 15 ships and vessels were also destroyed.
The Ukrainian side also suffered casualties and equipment.
A newspaper published in Odessa, the city that the Russians failed to capture, estimates that 232 Ukrainian tanks, 116 troop carriers and 173 infantry transport vehicles were destroyed. The
Ukrainians do not give the number of casualties, the estimate is 150-200 dead per day. The Russians do are now, belatedly, developing their own "air jacket" system, (aps), which they will attach to their new battle tank 14-T, Armata, its name, ARMATA. These systems have not yet been put into use, they are still in trials. Even at the May Day parade this year, only two Such modern tanks.
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Russian tank model 72-T in the service of the Russian army.
The tank that was once the most innovative in the world has become obsolete and has been exposed as vulnerable to advanced anti-tank weapons, in the modern battlefield (Photo: Reuters)
Another drawback for the Russians in the armored battle system in which they were defeated, because they rolled into the campaign tanks and outdated systems.
The currently advanced Russian battle tanks, 72-T, were produced in the 1970s and were used in the Iraq-Iran war in the 1980s.
They are protected from direct frontal formation due to heavy steel systems, the sides of the tank are not well protected and the tank is vulnerable.
The Americans came and handed the Ukrainians Jabileen missiles, which rise above the target tank to a height of 150 meters, penetrate at ninety degrees from above, and detonate the ammunition in the belly of the tank, which is not separated by a steel door - as in the American tanks - from the tank crew.
This flaw will be corrected in the new Armata tank.
A British-Swedish nlaws anti-tank system carried on the shoulder of the lone warrior is for short ranges and basically does the job without tracking the launcher, in terms of "launch and forget".
The missile will track and hit the tank while calculating its position in a few seconds or tens of seconds.
The Russians are powerless against the deadly modern anti-tank weapons.
Their burnt and abandoned tanks and troop carriers are plastered all over the world's media columns, to their disgrace.
The world is panicking about the Russian military defeat.
All countries and armies of the world are rethinking all their weapon systems for the future battlefield, as a conclusion from the war in Ukraine.
More and more countries are asking not to rely on the weapons systems of other countries.
Until this year, the main importers of Russian weapons were India, Egypt and China.
Now the Russian weapon has been discovered in its depths.
In May of this year, India canceled a deal to purchase helicopters from Russia worth 520 million dollars.
India has realized that even weapons systems that it does want to purchase from Russia, it will not be able to receive, since Russia needs these systems for itself, to equip the army that has lost its five-pronged capability.
China is increasing its weapons production, already copying less and producing more of its own original systems, it is increasing investments because it wants to take Russia's place as an arms exporter, just as it has already taken Russia's place as a power.
Egypt has sought to distance itself from the patronage of the United States, which no longer sees it as a strategic asset relative to the Gulf states, but the war in Ukraine does not allow it to carry out the adventure of changing the weapons array from American to Russian.
Russia itself turns out to be dependent on foreign parts and equipment for its weapons system, at least 27 of Russia's weapon systems depend on the equipment and components of 450 foreign companies in the world, according to the Royal United Services Institute in London.
About 70% of the companies that supply equipment are companies based in the USA. With the fading of globalization in recent years, more countries are moving to develop and rely on themselves, in all areas from the light component to the heavy component, which will lead to an increase in the security expenses of the countries of the world, most of which have declared with a committee that They significantly increase the security budget.
A Russian tank that fell into the hands of the Ukrainian forces.
The Russian armor was found to be vulnerable (Photo: Reuters)
The leader is Japan, which will double its defense budget starting in April 2023 to 2% of GDP.
So does Germany.
Israeli defense exports will flourish and strengthen the high-tech economy.
Among the leading countries in self-development of weapons are Turkey and Brazil.
Not necessarily only because of this component of government spending (both countries are close to bankruptcy).
Turkey owns STM's TB2s suicide drone industry, laser-guided, among the best in the world. The Turkish suicide bomber was successful in his work in Syria, Libya, Nagorno Karabach in Armenia and now also in Ukraine.
The Iranians have also developed a good drone industry to such an extent that President Putin during his last visit to Tehran He asked to purchase from them for his war in Ukraine.
After two decades of open secrecy, Israel also publicly admitted that it has drones, but did not specify whether they also commit suicide.
News from foreign sources indicate that Israel is cooperating with India and Morocco on this issue.
The Ukraine war shows that it is very cheap to destroy an expensive tank.
The air defense systems in the world were built to test and warn and prevent air attacks by fighter jets, now all over the world, probably in Israel as well, the defense systems and radar are being adapted to detect UAVs such as those sent to the "Shark" marine gas field.
What is important is that Israel's security system together With the military industry and together with IDF visionaries, we will analyze in depth the nature of the failures and successes of the battlefield in Ukraine.
We must do quick work, including submitting conclusions, changing orders of priorities and preferences so that already for the 2023 budget and especially for the 2024 budget and beyond, there will be a budgetary response for the army within the defense budget, in accordance with the new arenas of war.
God forbid - and even dangerous - for Israel to bask in its successes in northern Samaria or the Gaza Strip, this is a tiny testing ground for the television screens and Israeli pride and nothing else.
The first question that the IDF should ask itself is whether to continue developing the chariot tank and how many tools Israel needs? Is there indeed an effective defense system even for missiles that dive at ninety degrees? Is the all-powerful tank vulnerable to suicide UAVs, or swarms of UAVs Israel's battle tank? Do we have to increase the production of guns and their range in huge quantities to prevent tank hunters from approaching the scene of action? The Russian artillery failed to protect the Russian tanks that advanced too quickly and fell into ambushes, the Russian artillery was left behind due to a large SDF and turned the Russian tanks for convenience purposes.
Has the British tank that first appeared in 1916 and made a name for itself in the German defense system in 1917, reached the end of its journey?
Is the heavily manned, very expensive tank even suitable for modern warfare?
Maybe we should stop producing the chariot tanks and increase the independent commando units on a large scale, units that carry light and smart personal lethal weapons?
The tank is a crushing device for breaking into huge areas and may be a trap for armored personnel carriers, as was the case in the Yom Kippur War.
The army may still be busy with logistics and evacuating the wounded.
The tank wars in the Sinai or the heroic battle in the Baka Valley in the Golan Heights will never return.
A cyber unit in the IDF. Getting into the enemy's guts (photo: IDF spokesperson)
An important lesson
The intelligence failure in the Yom Kippur War still hurts.
We also need to examine increasing budgets for cyber systems, not just the transmission lines between weapon systems and between the security system and the headquarters.
A lot of money is required to increase the espionage capacity and to enter the enemy countries, their commanders, their designs and their weapons systems.
The one related to the encrypted and confused information systems we are already doing well today, but we need to increase.
Part of the Ukrainian success is the best intelligence provided to it by the Americans and the British, who spared the Ukrainians equipment and weapons and led to success on the battlefield, including harming senior commanders in the Russian army.
One of the tasks of a modern army, as in ancient times, is systems of deception, deception and trickery.
We must establish expert teams of commanders who have studied the subtleties of military game theory and trickery while using even social networks that spread falsehood and truth, mixed up and as needed.
The Russians' Achilles heel in the war in the sister country of Ukraine is the long supply lines that the Russians failed: the Russians sent armored columns as if it were child's play to capture the main cities in Ukraine.
Slight resistance by the Ukrainians led the Russian soldiers to a shortage of ammunition, food and communication with the home front.
Israel will also have to study in more depth the issue of supply lines, logistics, distribution of warehouses, protection of emergency warehouses throughout the year, appropriate and updated stocks for the needs of the present, and more.
The chain of command and reliance on chain instructions cannot work in a world of dynamic, agile and changing warfare.
For this, we must budget for the establishment of independent units that can work and operate independently in a short time.
No time for chain of command or supply.
Above all, the air control that Israel has had for decades, actually since the Six Day War, is important.
It must continue and intensify.
The Air Force, it seems, is working well, updated and renewed.
The question is whether the soldiers and pilots of the corps will be able to reach their base safely - and this is no longer certain after the Arab Revolt of 1951-1952, a hundred years after the great Arab Revolt of 1981-1992.
The opening fire instructions of the IDF soldiers must also include an active hostile population of law-breaking Israeli citizens. The military intelligence must also contain an update from home with the help of the Shin Bet, which circulates current information.
All the aforementioned actions can only be done with a strong Israeli economy as it is today.
The strength of the economy guarantees the ability to spend budgets to strengthen the army.
At the same time, the army must reduce its staff of officials so that the security budget does not burden the economy.
The global security tensions will increase Israeli security exports, hopefully also to countries as far away as Japan and of course to Europe, which will allow for a reduction in the cost of weapons and related security services (per unit).
Today's budget surpluses may be required for tomorrow's lean day.
Politicians change, take your eyes off the excesses.
Yom Hakkipurim War