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Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel: From 2024, inflation rates will fall significantly


The Germans will probably have to live with the immense inflation for a while longer. According to Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel, the situation will only relax somewhat in 2024.

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Bundesbank boss Nagel: Opportunity for lavish wage rounds

Photo: Sepp Spiegl / IMAGO

Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel does not see a speedy return to the inflation target set by the European Central Bank (ECB).

In an interview with RTL/ntv, Nagel said that the ECB's inflation target was two percent, and that they would get there again.

However, that will take some time.

Initially there will be lower inflation rates in December as a result of the gas price brake.

In 2023, however, seven percent would be reached again.

"From 2024 onwards, inflation rates will then drop significantly," said the Bundesbank President.

Interest rate hikes would have a delay of 18 months to two years: "That's why I have to ask for patience at this point." Nagel made a similar statement in an interview with "Stern".

Strong wage increases expected

The ECB is aiming for a stable price level for the currency area in the medium term with an annual inflation rate of two percent.

Inflation is being driven primarily by energy and food prices, which rose sharply after the Russian attack on Ukraine.

The central bank estimates that the inflation rate in the euro zone will average 8.4 percent this year.

For the coming year, the experts expect an annual average of 6.3 percent.

Inflation could then drop to 3.4 percent in 2024 and to 2.3 percent in 2025.

Nagel told the "Stern" that workers in Germany had a good chance of earning significantly more in the coming years.

"We expect that wages in Germany will rise more sharply in the next few years than in the past." Despite the economic crisis, inflation and high energy prices, the reason is the stable labor market, which is a "real ray of hope".

Recently, collective bargaining has been shaped by the debate about an impending “wage-price spiral”, which could further fuel the already high inflation rates.

Economists had warned against wage agreements that were too high.

If wages rise too much in response to high inflation, this could push prices further up.

Nagel, on the other hand, praised the reluctance of the collective bargaining partners in the "Stern" interview.

»A wage-price spiral suggests massive wage increases, which then drive up prices.

Currently it is rather the other way around: we have experienced a surge in costs that has led to higher prices.« The wage agreements this year »recognizablely kept the balance« between the interests of employees and the competitiveness of companies.


Source: spiegel

All business articles on 2022-12-20

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