It will be a “massive” movement, promised Monday the secretary general of the CFDT, Laurent Berger.
Three days before the day of strikes and demonstrations against the pension reform and the postponement of the legal age to 64, scheduled for Thursday, January 19, Le Parisien takes stock of the very many disruptions expected, sector by sector.
TER, TGV, Intercity
We have to prepare for a "troublesome Thursday", Transport Minister Clément Beaune said on Tuesday morning.
The intersyndicale, made up of the CGT, Unsa, Sud and CFDT, called for "a powerful strike", even leaving the threat of an unlimited movement.
According to the traffic forecasts revealed by the SNCF, it will indeed be better to consider postponing your trips.
Count 1 out of 5 TGVs on the Atlantic axis, 1 out of 4 TGVs on the East axis, 1 out of 3 TGVs on the North axis, 1 out of 3 TGVs on the South-East axis and 1 out of 3 Ouigo.
Read also SNCF strike of January 19: only one TER out of 10, no Intercités, few TGVs, traffic forecasts for Thursday
On the other lines, only 1 TER out of 10 must run, while no Intercités should run.
A round trip on the Paris-Clermont line should serve as an exception.
Night Intercités are also affected, since no train will depart on the nights of Wednesday to Thursday and Thursday to Friday.
Eurostar and Thalys international connections will run almost normally, but traffic on the Lyria lines (to Italy) will be "severely disrupted", announces the SNCF.
Other international connections are interrupted.
Metro, RER, bus…
In Île-de-France, public transport traffic will be greatly disrupted.
All the unions representing the RATP call for participation in the interprofessional movement of this Thursday, January 19.
If lines 1 and 14 must operate normally due to their automation, plan one train out of 2 during peak hours and one out of 4 during off-peak hours on line 4.
Read alsoRATP strike of January 19: traffic will be “very disrupted” in the metros and RER, find all the forecasts for Thursday
As regards lines 2, 3, 3bis, 5, 6, 7, 7bis, 9, 12 and 13, traffic will be "very disrupted": some lines will only be open during peak hours, while others will serve only some of the stations.
The details have not yet been specified.
Traffic will finally be completely interrupted on lines 8, 10 and 11.
On the RER A side, 1 train out of 2 must run at peak times and 1 train out of 4 at off-peak times.
The times of the first departures will be between 5:25 a.m. and 5:50 a.m. depending on the branch.
In the evening, the last visit to Châtelet is scheduled for 9 p.m.
The precise opening and closing times of the stations will be displayed locally.
For the RER B, it will be necessary to deal with 1 train out of 2 at peak times and 1 train out of 3 at off-peak hours with an interrupted interconnection at Gare du Nord.
For RER C, D and E, only one train out of 10 will run.
On the RER C, trains will only run on the South branch from Austerlitz and there will be no RER D between Châtelet and Gare de Lyon.
Many disruptions are also to be expected on the Transilien network with 10% of trains in circulation, line R will not operate.
Finally, plan 2 out of 3 buses and 3 out of 4 trams on average, detailed details must be provided this Wednesday by the RATP.
Traffic will however be normal on lines T4, T11 and T13 of the tram.
In the air
Be careful also if you had planned a flight this Thursday.
Notices have been filed for several airlines, including Air France, as well as in air traffic control.
In this sector, the SNCTA, the majority among air traffic controllers, does not call for a strike, however, he announced on Sunday, justifying "reasoned and timely use of the right to strike".
Read alsoFaced with the pension reform, what the unions are up to
The first forecasts sent for Orly airport, however, show one in five flights canceled due to a strike by air traffic controllers, the Directorate General of Civil Aviation announced on Tuesday.
The DGAC also warns of “disturbances and delays”, to be expected, “despite these preventive measures”.
Nor should disruptions be ruled out depending on the mobilization of pilots, stewards and hostesses, within the various airlines.
Good news, however, for flights to overseas territories, many departing from Orly, which are not affected by cancellations, in the name of territorial continuity.
In schools, the tone is set: the first primary school union, the Snuipp-FSU, already provides for 70% of strikers on Thursday.
"This figure is not a surprise because we feel that the question of retirement is a major concern for teachers", assured Guislaine David, general secretary of the union.
In Paris, the union foresees “at least a third of schools completely closed”.
The education unions are all calling to join the movement.
“This reform will hit all workers hard, and in particular education personnel”, justifies in a press release a large inter-union made up of the CGT, FO, FSU, CFDT, SNALC of South and Unsa.
In secondary education, college and high school teachers are not required to declare themselves strikers before the deadline, so it is not possible at this stage to provide an estimate of the extent of the movement.
In refineries and the energy sector
In October, strikes in refineries caused an unprecedented shortage across the country for several days.
Should we expect a movement of the same magnitude?
In any case, the CGT union of the oil branch plans a walkout on January 19.
Asked on Monday about a possible blockage, the secretary general of the CFDT, Laurent Berger, replied that his union "has not called for (the) blocking for the moment".
The call for a strike will lead to "decreases in flow" and stoppages in the shipment of fuels, said Éric Sellini, the union's national coordinator for TotalEnergies.
Already, we have seen French people rushing to gas pumps, fearing a shortage.
The scenario of a renewable movement is also taking shape in the energy sector, where “reductions in electricity production” are to be expected, without “going to blackout”, warned the leader of the FNME-CGT Sébastien Menesplier, referring to possible local "cuts" targeting elected officials "who support the reform".
“We are working on well-targeted regional actions”, confirms Franck Redondo, FO manager at the Gravelines nuclear power plant (North), predicting “a strong mobilization on Thursday” and already planning “on other days of action”.
To the hospital
The movement against the pension reform could also taint the functioning in hospitals, already disturbed by difficult working conditions, a lack of staff.
The second hospital public service union, FO-Santé, had already called for an "unlimited strike" on January 10.
The National Union of Nursing Professionals (SNPI) also calls on “all salaried nurses in all sectors” to strike against “the abject pension reform”.
“If we are working, we can go down to the hall for a minute of silence, file a 1 hour strike, reduce activity”, writes the union in its appeal.
In the public service
A large inter-union also called, in a joint press release, "to mobilize to obtain the withdrawal of the modification of the legal age raised to 64 years" and "to enroll massively in the first day of strikes and interprofessional demonstrations ".
Disruptions should therefore be expected but, here again, it is impossible to define the extent of the mobilization and its possible impact on the functioning of the services.
The prefecture of Tarn-et-Garonne and the sub-prefectures Forbach / Boulay-Moselle (Moselle) have already announced on Twitter the closure of their services to the public on Thursday.