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Carlos Melconian, on inflation: "In 80 years, Argentina only had one stable decade"


The economist predicted that it will happen in the coming months and explained why. In addition, he spoke about the Pope's sayings and the President's reply.

Carlos Melconian once again made an exhaustive analysis of the Argentine economy, inflation and poverty after the Pope's words and the reply from President Alberto Fernández.

"I am going to respond professionally and depersonalize about who said what," the economist said.

And based on that, he pointed out: "If someone said that this did not happen in Perón's time, there is no historical series," which is why, for the former head of Banco Nación,

"these are discussions of a political tinge that people it enters one side and comes out the other

" and that they deactivate from one day to the next.

"I went more than once with great pleasure to the Social Pastoral and

I have never found a series of poverty of more than 40 years.

In the UCA observatory there are no homogeneous series either, it happens with the EPH and with unemployment," he said and He made progress with his technical analysis.

"There has to be a new exchange regime and a new monetary policy," said Carlos Melconian.

And in this regard, he assured that in the midst of all this "macroeconomic instability is still in force and purchasing power continues to erode."

“How many years has it been since in Argentina all the surveys say that the main problem is inflation?

In 80 years, Argentina only had one stable decade.

No more, ”she stressed.

Getting into the strictly economic, and when asked if the near possibility of a plateau was open, the economist stated: "That would be more than a miracle"

. month at 3% and another a plateau"


“By chance there may be a month where it goes down seasonally.

In 12 months there is seasonality;

July and December, for example, are seasonally high months where increases occur due to vacations, bonuses, hotels, services;

in March, for classes.

While February and September are quiet months.

Suddenly, there are some months that seasonality plays in favor, but no plateau, in no way," said the former head of the Nation in dialogue with radio Miter.

He was even tougher on this, warning that in the coming months inflation will be higher, driven by the increase in meat prices and the drought.

For Melconian it is incomprehensible that the Government does not seek to solve the problem of inflation.

“Knocking down inflation is popular


The few successful programs, longer term or short term, Austral and Convertibility win elections.

That's what doesn't enter my head.

The politician who lowers inflation stays eight safe years


So what are we talking about?"

"The politician has to understand that reaching the goal here is stabilizing," he stressed.

And he explained: "If we are lucky enough to lower inflation one day, the challenge of getting used to it is for the businessman, people will be delighted."

"People have no escape mechanism from inflation, they always lose. There is no chance," he added.

And he added: "By lowering inflation monthly to what in other countries in the world is inflation for a year, it can give the next government hope."


look too

Alberto Fernández responded to Pope Francis: "While Perón ruled, the Argentine reality was different"

How many pesos will a typical family need per month to pay for water, electricity, cell phone and rent as of March

Source: clarin

All business articles on 2023-01-26

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