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The blue dollar fell to $383 but the Central Bank returned to sell reserves

2023-01-30T22:46:56.974Z


The informal fell $3 and the BCRA had to sell US$28 million. The blue dollar closed this Monday at $383 for sale and lost $3 since last Friday's close, when it touched the nominal record of $386. In this way, the blue was $3 below the Qatar dollar, the most expensive in the market and that applies to expenses abroad of more than US$ 300 per month. The parallel price loosened for the first time in the last 7 days and so far this year, it has already accumul


The blue dollar closed this Monday at $383 for sale and lost $3 since last Friday's close, when it touched the nominal record of $386. In this way,

the blue was $3 below the Qatar dollar, the most expensive

in the market and that applies to expenses abroad of more than US$ 300 per month.

The parallel price

loosened for the first time in the last 7 days

and so far this year, it has already accumulated a rise of 10.7%, which 

doubles the rate of inflation forecast in January, close to 6%.

In the midst of the shortage of currency supply and a limited demand for pesos, the exchange rate gap with the wholesaler reaches

105%, a level higher than the 100% registered in December. 


On the other hand, the financial dollars did not show major changes: the MEP rose $1 and closed at $353, while the cash with liquidity (CCL) fell $1 peso and ended at $369. The gaps with the official were thus located at 89% and 98%.

"Some

tension

was noted in the financiers during the first part of the conference but then with the intervention they turned it off quite a bit. Versions of interventions in the blue circulated, something that is probable, but I have not confirmed it," said Andrés Reschini, an analyst of F2 Solutions.


Sergio Massa ordered to buy bonds in dollars more than a week ago to contain the acceleration of financial dollars.

Some of these titles, like the GD30, are used in the market to buy MEP and CCL.

The Central Bank raised the rate of passive repos to banks and Mutual Investment Funds and empowered financial entities to take stock market guarantees, a combo with which it seeks to absorb excess pesos.

For analysts, the lack of reserves and abundant liquidity after the increase in the monetary issue in December are some of the factors that have been driving alternative prices.

"The blue was somewhat below the Qatar dollar, in a scenario that does not clear up doubts and therefore maintains a slightly upward trend. The rest of the alternative dollars also moved with some oscillations and they say, without being able to corroborate it, that on the At the end of the day there were interventions," said Gustavo Quintana, operator of PR Corredores de Cambio.

Today's session brought some calm to the economic team, where they perceived

less pressure

compared to last week, despite the scenario of "extreme vulnerability" denounced by Together for Change over the weekend.

"A slightly stronger bullfight was coming, it is a little calmer," they said in an official dispatch.

The wholesale dollar, meanwhile, closed at $186.56, barely 0.5% more than last Friday.

This represents a rise of 5.3% per month, behind the increase of up to 7.9% in financial dollars, and reflects that the BCRA keeps the official exchange rate on a tight leash to try to contain prices.

The scenario, likewise, remains complex.

This Monday

close to US$ 700 million were paid to the IMF

with SDRs and another similar amount will be paid between Wednesday and Friday.

On the other hand, the agro-export complex totaled US$ 120 million in income last week,

the lowest weekly record in January.

Despite the low business volume, the BCRA ended the session with sales of some US$ 28 million, in what was the fourth consecutive day with a negative balance.

The losses accumulated in the month are

now accommodated in little more than US$ 100 million,

according to Quintana.

Country risk fell 1.2% to 1,805 basis points, while Argentine bonds operated mixed.

The Merval fell 3.3%, after falling 2.8% on Friday, for which it accumulates an advance of 21.7% in January.

Source: clarin

All business articles on 2023-01-30

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