Bruno Tertrais: “No, Henri Guaino, facing Russia, our eyes are wide open”

Henri Guaino's text invites us to take a step back from the events in Ukraine.

It has the merit of summoning the tragic history of the 20th century to encourage us to reflect on the consequences of our actions and our strategic choices.

In doing so, however, he errs in historical analogy, draws the wrong lessons from the Cold War, misunderstands American strategy, takes little distance from the Russian narrative, and establishes a false symmetry between two camps.

By warning that we are in danger of behaving like the

of 1914, he is mistaking the analogy.

It is not here that we will settle the interminable debate - in the true sense of the term - on the origins and causes of the First World War.

At most, it will be emphasized that the idea of ​​a gear that would have exceeded the human will is far from being consensual.

And the differences are so numerous that they make the analogy ineffective.

Enthusiasm for war no longer exists in the West...

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