May is Biden's "performance season", but siege of China is unlikely

This May is Biden's "performance season".

From May 12th to 13th, Biden first invited the leaders of ASEAN countries to Washington to hold the "U.S.-ASEAN Special Summit", and from May 20th to 24th, he dragged his old body to visit South Korea and Japan.

This is Biden's first visit to an Asian country after taking office, and the significance of the symbol is particularly obvious. In addition to isolating China and consolidating the US alliance system, he wants to use the power of the Ukraine war to show that the United States can "dual-line layout" in Eastern Europe and East Asia, and at the same time The mentality of dealing with the challenges of Russia and China is particularly evident.

Because of this, Biden was particularly excited about this trip, and his schedule was also exhausted.

Contrary to the practice that US presidents always visit Japan first when visiting East Asia in the past, he placed South Korea as the first visit, which is a return for the Yoon Xiyue government's decision to turn to the United States.

In South Korea, the first place he went after getting off the plane was the Samsung Electronics semiconductor factory in Pyeongtaek, Gyeonggi Province, to show the importance of the cooperation between the United States and South Korea in the field of chips and the digital economy, which is the confrontation between China and the United States. key battlefield.

In Japan, Biden participated in the US-Japan-India-Australia Quartet Summit and announced the establishment of a new "Indo-Pacific Economic Framework" (IPEF), which is the highlight of Biden's Indo-Pacific strategy. In order to achieve the purpose of isolating China, the excluded framework system, in addition to the United States, Japan, India, Australia and South Korea, the participants are mainly ASEAN countries.

It is particularly noteworthy that in Japan, Biden also expressed support for Japan to become a permanent member of the United Nations, and made a groundbreaking statement on the Taiwan issue, saying that if the Chinese mainland "invades" Taiwan, the United States will "militarily defend Taiwan."

Although the White House and Biden himself later stated that the one-China policy of the United States has not changed, considering that this is not the first time Biden made such a statement, it is difficult for people to classify it as a "slip of the tongue". The United States wants to use the Taiwan issue. The intention to contain China is more evident today than ever.

So, can Biden’s strategic assumptions, which are clearly aimed at China, achieve their intended goals?

I'm afraid it will be difficult.

Is there any country willing to follow the baton of the United States?

There must be. If there is none, and the influence of the United States is too underestimated, the United States, the world hegemony of the past few decades, will be in vain.

For example, Japan, South Korea, Australia, etc. are the "little brothers" of the United States in the region; Vietnam, India, Indonesia, etc. also want to ask for soup from Washington, and take the opportunity to undertake the industrial chain transferred from China and develop their own digital economy and manufacturing. .

In addition, there are other countries, such as Singapore and Thailand, which are also "eating from both ends" between China and the United States.

However, the U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy covers dozens of Indo-Pacific countries, and each country has different interests and demands. It wants to integrate these countries through several agreement frameworks, so that they will follow the United States and China to oppose this goal. The possibility of implementation is negligible.

Take Biden's assistance to ASEAN countries at the "US-ASEAN Special Summit" as an example. By throwing out a mere $150 million in aid, he wants to leverage the entire ASEAN countries to follow the baton of the United States. How is this possible?

China is ASEAN's largest trading partner, and the bilateral trade volume will reach US$878.2 billion in 2021, and most ASEAN countries have benefited greatly from economic and trade exchanges with China, not to mention China's infrastructure and consumer goods in ASEAN. Investment and aid, only in November last year, China pledged to provide ASEAN with 1.5 billion US dollars in development assistance in the next three years for epidemic prevention and control and economic recovery. What choices will ASEAN countries make between China and the United States? It's not hard to tell.

More importantly, China is different from Russia. Although China has territorial disputes with many neighboring countries, and its system and culture are also different, China does not have the tradition of expansionism and aggressiveness, and has never actively invaded and threatened other countries in terms of security. .

In addition, China has stopped exporting ideology since the era of Deng Xiaoping, let alone subverting the governments of other countries like the United States. Even if other countries are uneasy about China's rise, as long as China can properly handle its relations with these countries, they will not As for taking chestnuts out of the fire for the United States, it is like making an enemy of China in the Cold War era.

Therefore, as long as China "does not" get hotheaded, "no" tosses itself, "no" makes stupid moves, "no" abandons its martial arts, and social development "does not" lose its innovative vitality, let alone Biden, it is useless for anyone to come. .

But having said that, for China, it is quite difficult to achieve these "four differences and none". If you have some achievements and accumulated a little wealth, you will toss. If you live a little better, you will start to get overwhelmed. There are thousands of Chinese. This is the famous "Huang Yanpei's Question", which is a dialogue between Mao Zedong, the founding leader of the Communist Party of China, and Huang Yanpei, a democrat, in a cave in Yan'an in 1945. , the rise and fall of chaos in China for thousands of years has never jumped out of this historical cyclical law.

So, can China surpass history today?

Can this "four different and one not" be achieved and become a historical exception?

I hope, and there is a chance.

Biden's "geese roaming" in Asia, Taiwan's dream is a standout talk about Biden's use of force to protect Taiwan on Hu Xijin: how much to destroy them, how much Biden is not a gaffe