Many areas of the world, such as the Bay of Bengal, the Philippines and the Caribbean Sea, but also the Amazon and Alaska, risk experiencing record air temperatures until June 2024. This is indicated by the study published in the journal Scientific Reports and led by the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences.
There is an estimated probability of 90% that the phenomenon will result in high average global temperatures, in the event that El Niño proves strong enough. With a moderate to strong El Niño, an increase of 1.03 to 1.20 degrees is estimated compared to the average of the reference period 1951-1980.