The EU limits Italy's GDP estimates for 2024 to 0.7%, +1.2% in 2025. Estimates of expected growth in the Eurozone have been revised downwards.

All EU countries are now expected to grow in both 2024 and 2025. The European Commission's winter forecasts are "surrounded by uncertainty" due to the continuation of geopolitical tensions and the risk of a further expansion of the conflict in the Middle East. The Commission sees Italy's recovery with disinflation and rising wages wages.