Iran has promised a response to the strike attributed to Israel against the Iranian consulate in Damascus which, according to an NGO, left 16 dead. The supreme leader and number one of the regime, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, affirmed on Wednesday that Israel “must be punished” Several attack scenarios are possible unless the Sultanate of Oman, which often acts as a mediator between the United States and Iran, manages to calm things down.
The most likely scenario would be a sort of multi-cushion billiards game, using its relays in the Middle East. One of the hypotheses put forward would be an operation on the Syrian Golan Heights, occupied by Israel since 1967, and from where Israeli fighter planes left to bomb Iranian consulate. This operation would be carried out by Lebanese Hezbollah or Iraqi Shiite militias. But above all, the Tehran regime is currently facing a social and economic crisis and would probably find it difficult to withstand a frontal war over time. But in this case, Israel could attack Iran's nuclear facilities, while the country seeks the bomb.