Painful survey: Merz cannot score points with 91 percent of young women. Only 23 percent of those surveyed in a Forsa survey for RTL/ntv said they wanted to vote for Merz in a direct election.

Merz is ahead of Scholz in the survey - but is far behind Pistorius on one point. It is conceivable that another SPD politician would have better chances against the CDU candidate, writes Mahnke. It remains unclear whether other candidates could exploit this weakness.