The election of Congressman George Santos' replacement in New York measures the political temperature ahead of November. The result of the close vote in a suburb of the city between a Democrat and a Republican will influence the balance of forces in the House of Representatives, with a slim Republican majority.

New York holds partial elections this Tuesday that will serve as a political thermometer heading into November.The vote to elect the replacement for Republican George Santos, expelled from the House for twenty crimes, including fraud, falsehood and impersonation, is head or tail.