The world faces an unbridled war in Ukraine, a danger of escalation between Israel and Iran, and serious tensions in East Asia. We are not faced with a fight between two defined blocks.

The oriental is not formal, yes, but there are no univocal positions in it either. Although a huge, tense competition is emerging between authoritarian regimes and democracies. The opening of a third front is not likely. Logic suggests that China, the key actor, has no rational interest in this. The problem is that in geopolitics, there is a greater margin for error in unforeseen events, or in greater communication or communication errors. The likelihood is that even North Korea, whose rational decision mechanisms are more dubious, will act in a way that is not in its own interest. The risk of the opening of an Asian-Pacific third front would represent a true geopolitical nightmare. It would be a serious mistake not to reflect on the possibility. That is, the risk that someone in that area thinks that, while the United States and the Europeans maintain an effort on the Ukraine and Middle East fronts, it may be a good time to advance their interests in the Asia-Pacific.