The stakes of these elections are enormous for the European Union and NATO. Turkey could also be on the agenda of the next summit of the Twenty-Seven, at the end of June.

"It's too tight to say with certainty who will win," says a European official, stressing the importance of the election. The EU could also affirm their willingness to work with the new Turkish leader, or even to help him implement reforms, if he wins the election on June 24. The stakes are high for both the EU and Turkey.