Pablo Sigal
09/25/2020 - 19:50
Clarín.com
Society
The province of Buenos Aires now has a fatality rate from coronavirus of
3.2 percent and Argentina, 2.70 percent
.
The world average is 3 percent.
The jump is enormous because in a single day the district governed by Axel Kicillof "blanked" after
almost seven months
of pandemic
3,523 deaths
that were not in the centralized system that manages the Ministry of Health of the Nation.
Clarín
had already realized this situation in August, when it announced the
"false curve" of the coronavirus
: that is, between the number of deaths that was being reported and the real number that was later recorded in the databases there were there was a difference of
30 percent
.
That continued to happen until now, when the Province decided to optimize a computer system that will allow the number of deaths to be known
in real time.
This situation places Argentina in a quite different place on the world map than it had been.
Until now, in the country there were
326 deaths per million inhabitants.
Now there are
406 deaths per million
.
What does this mean?
Several things.
First, where the country is located in the world: in
position number 13
in number of deaths, with a total of
18,289
until before the evening part of this Friday.
On Thursday, Argentina had passed to South Africa in number of cases and now it has also surpassed it in deaths, based on this
honesty of the figures
.
The African country has 16,312 deaths with a rate of 274 deaths per million, given that its population is almost 60 million inhabitants, against 45 million Argentines.
Secondly, this new reality brings into question the
real effects that strict quarantine has had in Argentina.
The perception for several months was that strict confinement was serving to keep the death rate at bay.
Now that argument begins to change.
These 3,500 deaths have accumulated
since the beginning of the pandemic in the country.
"When we crossed the complete database, death certificates appeared that did not say Covid and were Covid,"
a source from the Buenos Aires government
explained to
Clarín
.
The perception of the curve, with all those dead that had been left out of the frame, would have been very different if they began to be known when the quarantine was at its peak.
The Province has raised as one of its arguments for this gap that this type of situation
has occurred throughout the world
.
And for that, he put back, as often happens in the press conferences of the national ruling party, what has been happening in other countries.
"The United Kingdom and France have a confirmed under-registration because, at the beginning of the pandemic, they only counted
deaths that occurred in hospitals.
Only in April those that occurred in geriatric centers also began to be added. If we take into account that, since that date , a
little more than half of the French deaths
have occurred in residences for the elderly (51%) we take the dimension of the sub-registry of deceased ", it was stated in the presentation of the Buenos Aires Minister of Health, Daniel Gollán.
And it is added: "In New York, in a
single day the deaths increased by 3,700
because they also only counted the deaths that occurred in hospitals," it is stated in the presentation. "It also gives an account of the situation in Spain through a publication from the newspaper ABC: "The world suffers from this problem and countries are looking for answers while trying to control the virus.
In Spain, the newspaper ABC reported that there are
53 thousand deaths from coronavirus, 24 thousand more than those officially reported
".
Now the Province says it has found
the tool
so that delays in the information do not happen again.
It even offered the computer crossover system for use by other districts that require it.
It will be necessary to see if this has been a merely Buenos Aires disease or, when the situation of the whole country is passed through the same sieve, the number of people killed by Covid takes another leap.
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