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Reconfinement: this time, no exodus outside Île-de-France or in the rest of France

2020-10-30T18:59:54.616Z


Unlike last March, during the previous confinement, the French did not flee the metropolises to confine themselves "to the green", according to n


It did not escape anyone who was his steering wheel Wednesday or Thursday, or even this Friday.

Most French cities have experienced exceptional peaks of traffic jams, which fell again at the time of the curfew.

So exodus of city dwellers to the countryside at a time of national confinement?

This is clearly not the trend.

The return to the metropolises for the end of the All Saints holidays or before the official start of this new period of confinement is more surely at the origin of these sudden population movements.

The numbers are there to prove it.

For the road in the first place.

In Île-de-France, for example, where traffic jams reached 736 km cumulatively this Thursday evening, which is very close to the absolute record, dating back to 2018 (739 km of traffic jams during a major snowfall).

The peak was reached at 6 pm, with an exceptional index of 142% congestion according to navigation software Tom Tom.

By way of comparison, the highest level for 2020 dated from January 14, when the congestion index in Paris, paralyzed by the transport strike, had then reached 107%, further explains this transport specialist.

The outgoing flow only represented 12% of the traffic in Île-de-France

In detail and according to the Coyote company, in Île-de-France, traffic increased by 25% on Thursday compared to Thursday of the previous week: the flow within the region represents 80% of the traffic with an increase of only 5% compared to Thursday 22 October.

The outflow only represented 12% with an increase of 11% compared to the previous Thursday.

Logically, the incoming flow represented 8% of the traffic with an increase of 15%.

In addition, logically there too, because of the confinement, the traffic experienced a drop of 30% this Friday until noon compared to a classic Friday.

“It would seem that the exodus of this month of October is less important than during the first wave of confinement in March.

The non-closure of schools and the season less conducive to outdoor outings are the main arguments ”, analyzes Jérome Arnac, Marketing Director at Coyote.

Ile-de-France residents returned earlier to visit their families, or to go shopping before the reconfinement

“It should be noted that it is the intraregional traffic that has been particularly important.

The Ile-de-France residents undoubtedly took advantage of this last day before confinement to visit their families, go shopping, or take advantage of the last moments before confining themselves.

In addition, incoming flows are clearly on the increase, certainly due to early returns from the All Saints holidays, ”adds the manager of this navigation software company.

This Thursday, the other French cities experienced a similar situation on the roads yesterday.

In Lyon, the congestion index was 140% at 6 p.m. and the situation had practically subsided by the time of the curfew.

In Bordeaux, it was 170% at 7 p.m. and the peak was 134% at 6 p.m.

Same causes, same effects.

No exodus on the train side either

On the side of rail traffic and the SNCF, same analysis, no exodus, but a desire to return the French to their families, or their homes.

“Since yesterday's announcements (editor's note, Thursday), we have recorded additional reservations for trains over the next three days, whether in the direction towards Paris or towards the province, of the order of + 15%” explains the service. press release from the carrier contacted by Le Parisien.

Here too, the non-closure of schools is mentioned to explain these figures.

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As a result, vacationers do not intend to stay in the countryside or on vacation.

“There is no trend of cancellations for returns from the All Saints holidays, which normally take place with all scheduled trains running.

The trains are generally as full as a normal weekend in recent weeks, around 70% ”, also adds the SNCF.

On the other hand, a massive and logical increase in cancellations for trips over the next 4 weeks has started.

Thus 110,000 acts of cancellations or exchanges have already been carried out over the last 24 hours (an act that may concern several travelers or several journeys).

“We would like to remind you that we continue to guarantee the cancellation and reimbursement of tickets free of charge,” says SNCF.

Source: leparis

All life articles on 2020-10-30

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