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Covid: 33,979 positive in 24 hours, 546 deaths. 45 thousand victims reached

2020-11-16T01:38:46.950Z

Over 195 thousand swabs performed in 24 hours according to data from the Ministry of Health. 116 patients admitted to intensive care (ANSA)



There are 33,979 coronavirus positives identified in the last 24 hours in Italy.

The victims are 546 and the coronavirus deaths in Italy rise to over 45 thousand, to be precise 45,229.

The increase in patients admitted to intensive care in the last 24 hours is 116.

The total number of people in intensive care is now 3,422 and hospitalizations in ordinary wards have instead increased by 649 units, bringing the total to 32,047.

With the usual sharp decline of the weekend, fewer swabs were made: 195,275 swabs, 30,000 fewer than yesterday.

High attention is paid to the relationship between positives and tests which continues to rise and reaches 17.4%, an increase of over one percentage point compared to yesterday.

And it is precisely on this value that the game of understanding the trend of the curve is played.

In fact, the experts agree not to give weight in an absolute way to the daily data of the new infected, which is affected not only by the daily decreases in the number of tests carried out, but also by the difficulty in exceeding the threshold in a stable manner.

"The words slowing down, cooling down and braking have generated an unjustifiable excess of optimism for the variable interpretation of the real meaning of these terms: a reduced speed with which the contagion curve rises", explains Nino Cartabellotta, president of the GIMBE Foundation.

"To correctly interpret the concept of slowing down or braking, three elements must be taken into account. First, the data must be confirmed in the coming weeks; secondly, it can be influenced by saturation effects at a territorial and hospital level; finally, all curves continue to rise in a very rapid manner, worsening the response capacity of the health services "Cartabellotta, anticipating ANSA the data of the analysis to yesterday, explains that" what is observed is a reduction in the percentage increase of new daily cases: from 5 % on October 30 to 3.4% on November 14 which could be an effect of the measures introduced. However, in the same period, the positive / cases tested ratio continues to grow, demonstrating that the growth curve slows down also due to the reduced ability to make swabs ".

The "slowdown" can be seen, to a lesser extent, in the speed of growth of hospitalizations and intensive care.

However, not knowing the inflows and outflows of patients, even this data can be influenced by the saturation effect of the beds.

Source: ansa

All life articles on 2020-11-16

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